Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.212.56safe0.38–2.310.36–2.070.73–4.38safer0.13–2.560.13–2.290.25–4.86
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.198.90safe2.84–6.572.45–5.935.29–12.50safer2.36–7.061.98–6.404.34–13.46
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0412.3726.41safe10.12–17.978.80–15.9318.92–33.90safer9.03–19.067.85–16.8916.87–35.95
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.807.8717.67safe6.86–12.745.18–10.5512.04–23.29safer6.03–13.574.45–11.2810.48–24.86
Blocked shots
44%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.487.10safe1.74–5.501.82–5.133.56–10.63safer1.19–6.041.33–5.622.52–11.67
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.669.97safe3.09–7.522.66–6.665.76–14.18safer2.52–8.092.13–7.204.65–15.29
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction43.8055.89safe37.01–50.5949.10–62.67safer35.34–52.2647.43–64.34
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction315411726safe248–382345–477592–860safer230–400327–495557–895
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction72.6577.41safe68.62–76.6873.09–81.73safer67.33–77.9771.78–83.04
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5212.5826.10safe10.68–16.369.64–15.5320.32–31.88safer9.92–17.118.89–16.2818.82–33.39
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.413.22safe0.65–2.980.32–2.500.97–5.48safer0.35–3.280.03–2.790.38–6.07
Yellow cards
43%
19%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.284.72safe1.39–3.491.15–3.412.54–6.89safer1.12–3.750.86–3.701.98–7.45
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.62safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.195.84safe1.22–4.091.63–4.752.85–8.83safer0.83–4.481.21–5.172.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.56 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 2.56 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 40% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.84–6.57 2.36–7.06 | 4.19 2.45–5.93 1.98–6.40 | 8.90 5.29–12.50 4.34–13.46 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.04 10.12–17.97 9.03–19.06 | 12.37 8.80–15.93 7.85–16.89 | 26.41 18.92–33.90 16.87–35.95 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.74 6.03–13.57 | 7.87 5.18–10.55 4.45–11.28 | 17.67 12.04–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.48 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.67 | 44% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.09 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.20 | 9.97 5.76–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 43.80 37.01–50.59 35.34–52.26 | 55.89 49.10–62.67 47.43–64.34 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 315 248–382 230–400 | 411 345–477 327–495 | 726 592–860 557–895 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.65 68.62–76.68 67.33–77.97 | 77.41 73.09–81.73 71.78–83.04 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 13.52 10.68–16.36 9.92–17.11 | 12.58 9.64–15.53 8.89–16.28 | 26.10 20.32–31.88 18.82–33.39 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.65–2.98 0.35–3.28 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.44 1.39–3.49 1.12–3.75 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.72 2.54–6.89 1.98–7.45 | 43% 19% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.19 1.63–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 5.84 2.85–8.83 2.04–9.65 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+