Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.430.952.37safe0.46–2.390.09–1.800.55–4.20safer0.21–2.650.00–2.030.07–4.68
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.913.398.30safe3.05–6.771.64–5.134.69–11.90safer2.56–7.261.18–5.603.73–12.86
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2711.1925.46safe10.34–18.197.63–14.7617.97–32.95safer9.25–19.286.67–15.7215.92–35.00
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.256.1815.44safe6.31–12.203.50–8.869.81–21.06safer5.48–13.032.77–9.608.25–22.63
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.966.59safe1.76–5.521.30–4.613.06–10.13safer1.21–6.060.81–5.102.02–11.16
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.159.22safe2.85–7.282.15–6.155.00–13.43safer2.28–7.851.62–6.693.90–14.54
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.3344.76safe49.53–63.1237.98–51.55safer47.87–64.7936.31–53.22
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction471369840safe403–538302–435706–973safer385–556285–453670–1009
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction84.1579.07safe80.12–88.1874.75–83.40safer78.83–89.4873.44–84.71
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7314.2426.97safe9.89–15.5711.29–17.1821.19–32.75safer9.14–16.3210.55–17.9319.68–34.25
Offsides
44%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.182.64safe0.30–2.620.09–2.270.39–4.89safer0.00–2.920.00–2.560.00–5.48
Yellow cards
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.444.42safe0.93–3.031.31–3.572.24–6.60safer0.66–3.291.02–3.861.68–7.15
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.535.92safe0.95–3.831.97–5.082.93–8.91safer0.57–4.211.55–5.512.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.39 0.21–2.65 | 0.95 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.37 0.55–4.20 0.07–4.68 | 48% 27% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.77 2.56–7.26 | 3.39 1.64–5.13 1.18–5.60 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.73–12.86 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.28 | 11.19 7.63–14.76 6.67–15.72 | 25.46 17.97–32.95 15.92–35.00 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.31–12.20 5.48–13.03 | 6.18 3.50–8.86 2.77–9.60 | 15.44 9.81–21.06 8.25–22.63 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 2.96 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 6.59 3.06–10.13 2.02–11.16 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.85 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.62–6.69 | 9.22 5.00–13.43 3.90–14.54 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 56.33 49.53–63.12 47.87–64.79 | 44.76 37.98–51.55 36.31–53.22 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 471 403–538 385–556 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 840 706–973 670–1009 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.15 80.12–88.18 78.83–89.48 | 79.07 74.75–83.40 73.44–84.71 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.73 9.89–15.57 9.14–16.32 | 14.24 11.29–17.18 10.55–17.93 | 26.97 21.19–32.75 19.68–34.25 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.18 0.09–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 2.64 0.39–4.89 0.00–5.48 | 44% 26% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 4.42 2.24–6.60 1.68–7.15 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.83 0.57–4.21 | 3.53 1.97–5.08 1.55–5.51 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.