Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.562.90safe0.37–2.310.71–2.421.08–4.72safer0.12–2.560.48–2.650.60–5.20
Shots on target
39%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.789.23safe2.60–6.323.03–6.525.63–12.84safer2.11–6.812.57–6.984.67–13.80
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1813.2726.45safe9.26–17.119.70–16.8318.96–33.94safer8.17–18.208.75–17.7916.91–35.99
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.138.5116.64safe5.19–11.085.83–11.1911.02–22.27safer4.36–11.915.09–11.939.45–23.83
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.527.34safe1.94–5.701.87–5.173.81–10.88safer1.39–6.251.38–5.672.77–11.91
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.539.39safe2.65–7.082.53–6.535.18–13.61safer2.08–7.651.99–7.064.07–14.71
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.8353.00safe41.04–54.6346.22–59.79safer39.37–56.2944.54–61.46
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction402444846safe335–469378–511712–980safer316–487360–528677–1015
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction82.9083.98safe78.87–86.9379.65–88.30safer77.58–88.2278.34–89.61
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.3124.40safe9.26–14.939.36–15.2518.62–30.18safer8.50–15.698.61–16.0017.12–31.69
Offsides
64%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.721.454.17safe1.56–3.880.36–2.541.91–6.42safer1.25–4.180.07–2.831.32–7.01
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.033.89safe0.81–2.910.90–3.161.71–6.06safer0.54–3.170.61–3.451.15–6.62
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
39%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.216.27safe1.62–4.491.66–4.773.27–9.26safer1.23–4.881.23–5.192.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 33% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.32 2.11–6.81 | 4.78 3.03–6.52 2.57–6.98 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.80 | 39% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.18 9.26–17.11 8.17–18.20 | 13.27 9.70–16.83 8.75–17.79 | 26.45 18.96–33.94 16.91–35.99 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.13 5.19–11.08 4.36–11.91 | 8.51 5.83–11.19 5.09–11.93 | 16.64 11.02–22.27 9.45–23.83 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.39–6.25 | 3.52 1.87–5.17 1.38–5.67 | 7.34 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.91 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.65–7.08 2.08–7.65 | 4.53 2.53–6.53 1.99–7.06 | 9.39 5.18–13.61 4.07–14.71 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 47.83 41.04–54.63 39.37–56.29 | 53.00 46.22–59.79 44.54–61.46 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 402 335–469 316–487 | 444 378–511 360–528 | 846 712–980 677–1015 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.90 78.87–86.93 77.58–88.22 | 83.98 79.65–88.30 78.34–89.61 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.93 8.50–15.69 | 12.31 9.36–15.25 8.61–16.00 | 24.40 18.62–30.18 17.12–31.69 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.72 1.56–3.88 1.25–4.18 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 4.17 1.91–6.42 1.32–7.01 | 64% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.89 1.71–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 3.21 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.27 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 39% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.