Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.022.85safe0.86–2.800.17–1.871.02–4.67safer0.61–3.050.00–2.100.54–5.15
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.469.39safe4.06–7.781.72–5.215.78–12.99safer3.57–8.271.26–5.674.83–13.95
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2010.2227.42safe13.28–21.136.66–13.7819.94–34.91safer12.19–22.225.70–14.7417.89–36.96
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.536.6017.13safe7.59–13.473.92–9.2811.51–22.76safer6.76–14.303.19–10.029.94–24.32
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.302.937.23safe2.42–6.191.28–4.583.70–10.77safer1.88–6.730.78–5.072.66–11.80
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.044.3010.33safe3.82–8.252.30–6.306.12–14.54safer3.25–8.821.76–6.835.01–15.65
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.7239.12safe53.93–67.5232.33–45.90safer52.26–69.1830.66–47.58
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction471280751safe404–538213–346617–885safer386–556196–364581–920
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction80.0869.38safe76.05–84.1165.05–73.70safer74.76–85.4063.74–75.01
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0614.4226.48safe9.22–14.8911.48–17.3720.70–32.26safer8.46–15.6510.73–18.1219.19–33.76
Offsides
41%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.683.49safe0.65–2.970.59–2.781.24–5.75safer0.35–3.270.30–3.070.65–6.34
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.594.58safe0.94–3.041.46–3.722.40–6.76safer0.67–3.301.17–4.011.84–7.31
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
20%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.946.29safe0.92–3.792.38–5.493.30–9.28safer0.53–4.181.96–5.922.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 1.02 0.17–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.78 3.57–8.27 | 3.46 1.72–5.21 1.26–5.67 | 9.39 5.78–12.99 4.83–13.95 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.20 13.28–21.13 12.19–22.22 | 10.22 6.66–13.78 5.70–14.74 | 27.42 19.94–34.91 17.89–36.96 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.53 7.59–13.47 6.76–14.30 | 6.60 3.92–9.28 3.19–10.02 | 17.13 11.51–22.76 9.94–24.32 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.19 1.88–6.73 | 2.93 1.28–4.58 0.78–5.07 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.04 3.82–8.25 3.25–8.82 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.76–6.83 | 10.33 6.12–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 60.72 53.93–67.52 52.26–69.18 | 39.12 32.33–45.90 30.66–47.58 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 471 404–538 386–556 | 280 213–346 196–364 | 751 617–885 581–920 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.08 76.05–84.11 74.76–85.40 | 69.38 65.05–73.70 63.74–75.01 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.06 9.22–14.89 8.46–15.65 | 14.42 11.48–17.37 10.73–18.12 | 26.48 20.70–32.26 19.19–33.76 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.07 | 3.49 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 41% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 4.58 2.40–6.76 1.84–7.31 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.94 2.38–5.49 1.96–5.92 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 20% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.