Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
22%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.880.752.62safe0.91–2.840.00–1.600.80–4.45safer0.66–3.090.00–1.830.32–4.93
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.422.768.18safe3.56–7.281.02–4.514.58–11.79safer3.07–7.770.56–4.973.62–12.74
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction15.678.2423.90safe11.74–19.594.67–11.8016.42–31.39safer10.65–20.683.72–12.7614.36–33.44
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.415.0115.42safe7.47–13.352.33–7.699.80–21.04safer6.64–14.181.59–8.438.23–22.61
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.132.256.38safe2.24–6.010.60–3.902.84–9.91safer1.70–6.550.11–4.401.81–10.95
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.209.16safe3.74–8.171.20–5.204.94–13.37safer3.17–8.740.67–5.743.84–14.48
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.3436.47safe56.55–70.1329.69–43.26safer54.88–71.8028.01–44.93
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction587342929safe520–654275–408795–1062safer502–672258–426759–1098
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction88.3178.61safe84.28–92.3474.28–82.93safer82.99–93.6372.97–84.24
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6912.3724.06safe8.85–14.539.43–15.3218.28–29.84safer8.10–15.288.68–16.0716.77–31.35
Offsides
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.434.00safe0.41–2.731.33–3.521.74–6.25safer0.11–3.031.05–3.811.15–6.84
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.093.89safe0.75–2.840.96–3.221.71–6.07safer0.48–3.110.67–3.511.15–6.62
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.515.64safe0.69–3.561.96–5.072.64–8.63safer0.30–3.951.53–5.491.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.84 0.66–3.09 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 64% 22% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.56–7.28 3.07–7.77 | 2.76 1.02–4.51 0.56–4.97 | 8.18 4.58–11.79 3.62–12.74 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 15.67 11.74–19.59 10.65–20.68 | 8.24 4.67–11.80 3.72–12.76 | 23.90 16.42–31.39 14.36–33.44 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 10.41 7.47–13.35 6.64–14.18 | 5.01 2.33–7.69 1.59–8.43 | 15.42 9.80–21.04 8.23–22.61 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.24–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 2.25 0.60–3.90 0.11–4.40 | 6.38 2.84–9.91 1.81–10.95 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 5.95 3.74–8.17 3.17–8.74 | 3.20 1.20–5.20 0.67–5.74 | 9.16 4.94–13.37 3.84–14.48 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 63.34 56.55–70.13 54.88–71.80 | 36.47 29.69–43.26 28.01–44.93 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 587 520–654 502–672 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 929 795–1062 759–1098 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.31 84.28–92.34 82.99–93.63 | 78.61 74.28–82.93 72.97–84.24 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.53 8.10–15.28 | 12.37 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 24.06 18.28–29.84 16.77–31.35 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 2.43 1.33–3.52 1.05–3.81 | 4.00 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.75–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.62 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.51 1.96–5.07 1.53–5.49 | 5.64 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.