Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.013.12safe1.15–3.090.15–1.861.30–4.95safer0.90–3.340.00–2.090.82–5.43
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.199.50safe4.44–8.171.45–4.935.89–13.10safer3.95–8.660.98–5.404.94–14.06
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.188.8627.04safe14.25–22.105.30–12.4219.55–34.53safer13.16–23.194.34–13.3817.50–36.58
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.395.0417.43safe9.45–15.332.36–7.7211.80–23.05safer8.62–16.161.62–8.4610.24–24.62
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.192.287.47safe3.31–7.070.63–3.933.94–11.01safer2.77–7.620.13–4.422.90–12.04
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.863.2110.07safe4.65–9.071.21–5.215.86–14.28safer4.07–9.650.68–5.744.75–15.39
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.8740.35safe53.08–66.6633.57–47.14safer51.41–68.3331.90–48.81
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction517349866safe450–584282–415732–1000safer432–602265–433697–1035
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction84.2076.67safe80.17–88.2372.35–81.00safer78.88–89.5271.04–82.31
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6613.4826.14safe9.82–15.5010.54–16.4320.36–31.92safer9.06–16.259.79–17.1718.85–33.43
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.723.47safe0.59–2.910.63–2.811.22–5.73safer0.29–3.210.34–3.100.63–6.31
Yellow cards
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.634.37safe0.69–2.791.51–3.762.19–6.55safer0.42–3.051.21–4.051.64–7.11
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.22safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.85
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.284.336.61safe0.85–3.722.77–5.883.62–9.60safer0.46–4.112.35–6.312.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.09 0.90–3.34 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 3.12 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.30 4.44–8.17 3.95–8.66 | 3.19 1.45–4.93 0.98–5.40 | 9.50 5.89–13.10 4.94–14.06 | 80% |
| Total shots | 18.18 14.25–22.10 13.16–23.19 | 8.86 5.30–12.42 4.34–13.38 | 27.04 19.55–34.53 17.50–36.58 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.39 9.45–15.33 8.62–16.16 | 5.04 2.36–7.72 1.62–8.46 | 17.43 11.80–23.05 10.24–24.62 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.19 3.31–7.07 2.77–7.62 | 2.28 0.63–3.93 0.13–4.42 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.04 | 81% |
| Corners | 6.86 4.65–9.07 4.07–9.65 | 3.21 1.21–5.21 0.68–5.74 | 10.07 5.86–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 84% |
| Possession % | 59.87 53.08–66.66 51.41–68.33 | 40.35 33.57–47.14 31.90–48.81 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–602 | 349 282–415 265–433 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.20 80.17–88.23 78.88–89.52 | 76.67 72.35–81.00 71.04–82.31 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.82–15.50 9.06–16.25 | 13.48 10.54–16.43 9.79–17.17 | 26.14 20.36–31.92 18.85–33.43 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.72 0.63–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.47 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.31 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 2.63 1.51–3.76 1.21–4.05 | 4.37 2.19–6.55 1.64–7.11 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 4.33 2.77–5.88 2.35–6.31 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.42 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+