Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.050.792.83safe1.08–3.020.00–1.641.01–4.66safer0.83–3.270.00–1.870.53–5.14
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.712.769.48safe4.85–8.581.02–4.505.87–13.08safer4.36–9.070.55–4.974.92–14.04
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.208.0126.21safe14.28–22.134.44–11.5718.72–33.69safer13.19–23.223.48–12.5316.67–35.75
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.715.2117.92safe9.77–15.662.53–7.8912.30–23.54safer8.94–16.491.79–8.6310.73–25.11
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction4.981.976.95safe3.09–6.860.32–3.623.41–10.48safer2.55–7.400.00–4.122.38–11.52
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.952.819.76safe4.73–9.160.81–4.815.54–13.97safer4.16–9.730.28–5.344.43–15.08
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction65.0935.45safe58.30–71.8828.67–42.24safer56.63–73.5526.99–43.91
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction543292836safe476–611226–359702–969safer458–629208–376666–1005
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction86.7874.74safe82.75–90.8170.42–79.07safer81.46–92.1069.11–80.37
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4512.1924.63safe9.61–15.289.24–15.1318.85–30.41safer8.85–16.048.49–15.8817.35–31.92
Offsides
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.223.92safe0.54–2.861.13–3.311.67–6.17safer0.24–3.160.84–3.601.08–6.76
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.313.92safe0.56–2.661.18–3.441.74–6.09safer0.29–2.920.89–3.731.18–6.65
Red cards
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.160.21safe0.00–0.210.00–0.340.00–0.56safer0.00–0.360.00–0.480.00–0.84
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction1.924.196.11safe0.48–3.362.64–5.753.12–9.11safer0.10–3.742.21–6.172.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 0.79 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 67% 20% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.85–8.58 4.36–9.07 | 2.76 1.02–4.50 0.55–4.97 | 9.48 5.87–13.08 4.92–14.04 | 87% |
| Total shots | 18.20 14.28–22.13 13.19–23.22 | 8.01 4.44–11.57 3.48–12.53 | 26.21 18.72–33.69 16.67–35.75 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.71 9.77–15.66 8.94–16.49 | 5.21 2.53–7.89 1.79–8.63 | 17.92 12.30–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.98 3.09–6.86 2.55–7.40 | 1.97 0.32–3.62 0.00–4.12 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.38–11.52 | 83% |
| Corners | 6.95 4.73–9.16 4.16–9.73 | 2.81 0.81–4.81 0.28–5.34 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.08 | 88% |
| Possession % | 65.09 58.30–71.88 56.63–73.55 | 35.45 28.67–42.24 26.99–43.91 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 543 476–611 458–629 | 292 226–359 208–376 | 836 702–969 666–1005 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.78 82.75–90.81 81.46–92.10 | 74.74 70.42–79.07 69.11–80.37 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.45 9.61–15.28 8.85–16.04 | 12.19 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 24.63 18.85–30.41 17.35–31.92 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 2.22 1.13–3.31 0.84–3.60 | 3.92 1.67–6.17 1.08–6.76 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 3.92 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% 14% |
| GK saves | 1.92 0.48–3.36 0.10–3.74 | 4.19 2.64–5.75 2.21–6.17 | 6.11 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

