Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.022.153.18safe0.05–1.991.30–3.011.36–5.00safer0.00–2.241.07–3.240.88–5.48
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.506.169.67safe1.64–5.374.42–7.906.06–13.27safer1.15–5.863.95–8.375.11–14.23
Total shots
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9815.3426.32safe7.06–14.9111.78–18.9018.83–33.81safer5.97–16.0010.82–19.8616.78–35.86
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.749.6816.42safe3.80–9.687.00–12.3610.80–22.04safer2.97–10.516.26–13.109.23–23.61
Blocked shots
21%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.654.196.84safe0.77–4.532.54–5.853.31–10.38safer0.22–5.072.05–6.342.27–11.41
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.875.709.57safe1.66–6.083.70–7.705.36–13.79safer1.08–6.663.17–8.244.25–14.89
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.6362.08safe30.84–44.4255.30–68.87safer29.17–46.0953.63–70.54
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction324523847safe257–391457–590714–981safer239–409439–607678–1017
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction76.3086.26safe72.27–80.3381.94–90.59safer70.98–81.6280.63–91.90
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8613.4325.28safe9.02–14.6910.48–16.3719.50–31.07safer8.26–15.459.73–17.1218.00–32.57
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.513.27safe0.60–2.920.42–2.601.02–5.53safer0.30–3.220.13–2.890.43–6.12
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.974.12safe1.10–3.200.84–3.101.94–6.30safer0.83–3.460.55–3.391.38–6.86
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
66%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.396.29safe2.47–5.340.83–3.943.30–9.28safer2.08–5.730.41–4.372.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 2.15 1.30–3.01 1.07–3.24 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.50 1.64–5.37 1.15–5.86 | 6.16 4.42–7.90 3.95–8.37 | 9.67 6.06–13.27 5.11–14.23 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 10.98 7.06–14.91 5.97–16.00 | 15.34 11.78–18.90 10.82–19.86 | 26.32 18.83–33.81 16.78–35.86 | 17% 77% |
| Shots in box | 6.74 3.80–9.68 2.97–10.51 | 9.68 7.00–12.36 6.26–13.10 | 16.42 10.80–22.04 9.23–23.61 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 2.65 0.77–4.53 0.22–5.07 | 4.19 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 6.84 3.31–10.38 2.27–11.41 | 21% 13% 65% |
| Corners | 3.87 1.66–6.08 1.08–6.66 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.17–8.24 | 9.57 5.36–13.79 4.25–14.89 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 37.63 30.84–44.42 29.17–46.09 | 62.08 55.30–68.87 53.63–70.54 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 239–409 | 523 457–590 439–607 | 847 714–981 678–1017 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.30 72.27–80.33 70.98–81.62 | 86.26 81.94–90.59 80.63–91.90 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.02–14.69 8.26–15.45 | 13.43 10.48–16.37 9.73–17.12 | 25.28 19.50–31.07 18.00–32.57 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.15 1.10–3.20 0.83–3.46 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 4.12 1.94–6.30 1.38–6.86 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.90 2.47–5.34 2.08–5.73 | 2.39 0.83–3.94 0.41–4.37 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 66% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.