Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.962.92safe0.00–1.921.11–2.821.09–4.74safer0.00–2.170.88–3.040.61–5.22
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.275.598.85safe1.40–5.133.84–7.335.25–12.46safer0.92–5.623.38–7.794.29–13.41
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6714.8326.50safe7.74–15.5911.27–18.4019.01–33.99safer6.65–16.6810.31–19.3616.96–36.04
Shots in box
17%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction6.409.6216.02safe3.46–9.346.94–12.3010.40–21.65safer2.63–10.176.20–13.048.83–23.21
Blocked shots
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.876.84safe1.09–4.852.22–5.523.30–10.37safer0.54–5.391.73–6.022.27–11.41
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.235.579.80safe2.02–6.443.57–7.575.58–14.01safer1.44–7.023.03–8.104.48–15.12
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.7160.00safe32.92–46.5053.22–66.79safer31.25–48.1751.55–68.46
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction351508859safe284–418442–575726–993safer266–436424–592690–1029
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction75.3381.91safe71.30–79.3677.59–86.23safer70.00–80.6576.28–87.54
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4812.2126.69safe11.64–17.319.27–15.1620.91–32.47safer10.88–18.078.52–15.9019.40–33.97
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.793.31safe0.36–2.680.70–2.881.06–5.57safer0.06–2.980.41–3.170.47–6.16
Yellow cards
44%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.304.80safe1.45–3.551.17–3.432.63–6.98safer1.19–3.820.88–3.722.07–7.54
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.100.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.362.415.77safe1.93–4.800.85–3.962.78–8.76safer1.54–5.190.42–4.391.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.96 1.11–2.82 0.88–3.04 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.27 1.40–5.13 0.92–5.62 | 5.59 3.84–7.33 3.38–7.79 | 8.85 5.25–12.46 4.29–13.41 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 11.67 7.74–15.59 6.65–16.68 | 14.83 11.27–18.40 10.31–19.36 | 26.50 19.01–33.99 16.96–36.04 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 6.40 3.46–9.34 2.63–10.17 | 9.62 6.94–12.30 6.20–13.04 | 16.02 10.40–21.65 8.83–23.21 | 17% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.85 0.54–5.39 | 3.87 2.22–5.52 1.73–6.02 | 6.84 3.30–10.37 2.27–11.41 | 29% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 4.23 2.02–6.44 1.44–7.02 | 5.57 3.57–7.57 3.03–8.10 | 9.80 5.58–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 39.71 32.92–46.50 31.25–48.17 | 60.00 53.22–66.79 51.55–68.46 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 351 284–418 266–436 | 508 442–575 424–592 | 859 726–993 690–1029 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.33 71.30–79.36 70.00–80.65 | 81.91 77.59–86.23 76.28–87.54 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 14.48 11.64–17.31 10.88–18.07 | 12.21 9.27–15.16 8.52–15.90 | 26.69 20.91–32.47 19.40–33.97 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.50 1.45–3.55 1.19–3.82 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.80 2.63–6.98 2.07–7.54 | 44% 19% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.41 0.85–3.96 0.42–4.39 | 5.77 2.78–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 57% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.