Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.630.982.60safe0.66–2.590.12–1.830.78–4.43safer0.41–2.850.00–2.060.30–4.91
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.278.41safe3.28–7.011.52–5.014.81–12.02safer2.79–7.501.06–5.473.85–12.97
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.639.9025.52safe11.70–19.556.33–13.4618.04–33.01safer10.61–20.645.37–14.4215.98–35.06
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.086.0316.11safe7.14–13.023.35–8.7210.49–21.74safer6.31–13.852.62–9.458.92–23.30
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.292.576.86safe2.40–6.170.92–4.233.32–10.40safer1.86–6.710.43–4.722.29–11.43
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.693.859.54safe3.48–7.911.85–5.855.33–13.76safer2.91–8.481.32–6.384.22–14.86
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.3040.54safe52.51–66.0933.75–47.32safer50.84–67.7632.08–48.99
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction534363897safe466–601297–430763–1031safer448–619279–447728–1066
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction86.1979.82safe82.17–90.2275.49–84.14safer80.87–91.5274.18–85.45
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9213.3228.25safe12.09–17.7610.38–16.2722.46–34.03safer11.33–18.529.63–17.0120.96–35.53
Offsides
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.242.81safe0.40–2.720.15–2.340.55–5.06safer0.10–3.020.00–2.620.00–5.65
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.374.25safe0.83–2.931.24–3.502.07–6.43safer0.57–3.200.95–3.791.52–6.99
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.375.71safe0.91–3.781.81–4.922.72–8.70safer0.52–4.171.39–5.351.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.59 0.41–2.85 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.60 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 53% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.28–7.01 2.79–7.50 | 3.27 1.52–5.01 1.06–5.47 | 8.41 4.81–12.02 3.85–12.97 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.63 11.70–19.55 10.61–20.64 | 9.90 6.33–13.46 5.37–14.42 | 25.52 18.04–33.01 15.98–35.06 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.08 7.14–13.02 6.31–13.85 | 6.03 3.35–8.72 2.62–9.45 | 16.11 10.49–21.74 8.92–23.30 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.40–6.17 1.86–6.71 | 2.57 0.92–4.23 0.43–4.72 | 6.86 3.32–10.40 2.29–11.43 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.91 2.91–8.48 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.38 | 9.54 5.33–13.76 4.22–14.86 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 59.30 52.51–66.09 50.84–67.76 | 40.54 33.75–47.32 32.08–48.99 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 534 466–601 448–619 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 897 763–1031 728–1066 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.19 82.17–90.22 80.87–91.52 | 79.82 75.49–84.14 74.18–85.45 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 14.92 12.09–17.76 11.33–18.52 | 13.32 10.38–16.27 9.63–17.01 | 28.25 22.46–34.03 20.96–35.53 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.24 0.15–2.34 0.00–2.62 | 2.81 0.55–5.06 0.00–5.65 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.37 1.81–4.92 1.39–5.35 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.