Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.990.872.86safe1.02–2.960.02–1.731.04–4.68safer0.77–3.210.00–1.950.56–5.16
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.123.499.61safe4.26–7.991.75–5.236.01–13.22safer3.77–8.471.28–5.705.05–14.17
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.059.3626.41safe13.13–20.985.80–12.9218.93–33.90safer12.04–22.074.84–13.8816.88–35.95
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.025.5316.55safe8.08–13.962.85–8.2110.93–22.17safer7.25–14.792.11–8.959.36–23.74
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.391.986.37safe2.51–6.270.33–3.632.84–9.91safer1.97–6.820.00–4.131.80–10.94
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.369.86safe4.29–8.721.36–5.365.65–14.07safer3.72–9.290.82–5.894.54–15.18
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.6840.27safe52.89–66.4733.48–47.05safer51.22–68.1431.81–48.72
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction501342843safe434–568276–409710–977safer415–586258–426674–1013
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction83.8977.66safe79.87–87.9273.33–81.98safer78.57–89.2272.02–83.29
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8713.0925.96safe10.03–15.7010.14–16.0320.17–31.74safer9.27–16.469.40–16.7818.67–33.24
Offsides
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.823.15safe0.17–2.490.72–2.910.90–5.40safer0.00–2.790.44–3.200.31–5.99
Yellow cards
37%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.324.49safe1.12–3.221.19–3.452.31–6.66safer0.85–3.480.90–3.741.75–7.22
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.87
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.006.30safe0.87–3.742.45–5.563.31–9.30safer0.48–4.132.02–5.982.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.95 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.12 4.26–7.99 3.77–8.47 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 9.61 6.01–13.22 5.05–14.17 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.05 13.13–20.98 12.04–22.07 | 9.36 5.80–12.92 4.84–13.88 | 26.41 18.93–33.90 16.88–35.95 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.02 8.08–13.96 7.25–14.79 | 5.53 2.85–8.21 2.11–8.95 | 16.55 10.93–22.17 9.36–23.74 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.51–6.27 1.97–6.82 | 1.98 0.33–3.63 0.00–4.13 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.94 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.29–8.72 3.72–9.29 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.82–5.89 | 9.86 5.65–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 80% |
| Possession % | 59.68 52.89–66.47 51.22–68.14 | 40.27 33.48–47.05 31.81–48.72 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 501 434–568 415–586 | 342 276–409 258–426 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.89 79.87–87.92 78.57–89.22 | 77.66 73.33–81.98 72.02–83.29 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.87 10.03–15.70 9.27–16.46 | 13.09 10.14–16.03 9.40–16.78 | 25.96 20.17–31.74 18.67–33.24 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.15 0.90–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.85–3.48 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.49 2.31–6.66 1.75–7.22 | 37% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 4.00 2.45–5.56 2.02–5.98 | 6.30 3.31–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.