Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.502.78safe0.31–2.250.65–2.350.96–4.60safer0.06–2.500.42–2.580.48–5.08
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.208.41safe2.34–6.072.46–5.944.80–12.01safer1.85–6.561.99–6.413.85–12.97
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1412.0424.18safe8.22–16.078.48–15.6016.70–31.67safer7.13–17.167.52–16.5614.65–33.72
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.117.3115.42safe5.17–11.054.63–9.999.80–21.04safer4.34–11.883.89–10.738.23–22.61
Blocked shots
43%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.146.37safe1.35–5.121.48–4.792.84–9.91safer0.81–5.660.99–5.281.80–10.94
Corners
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.368.89safe2.32–6.742.36–6.364.68–13.11safer1.74–7.321.83–6.903.57–14.21
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.0657.36safe35.27–48.8550.58–64.15safer33.60–50.5248.91–65.82
Passes
19%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction364466830safe296–431400–533696–964safer278–449382–550661–999
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction79.9184.76safe75.89–83.9480.44–89.09safer74.59–85.2479.13–90.40
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9812.2724.24safe9.14–14.819.32–15.2118.46–30.02safer8.38–15.578.57–15.9616.95–31.53
Offsides
62%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.711.554.26safe1.55–3.870.46–2.652.01–6.51safer1.24–4.170.17–2.931.42–7.10
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.164.04safe0.83–2.931.03–3.291.87–6.22safer0.57–3.200.74–3.581.31–6.78
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.842.815.65safe1.40–4.271.26–4.372.66–8.64safer1.01–4.660.83–4.791.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.50 0.65–2.35 0.42–2.58 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 32% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.34–6.07 1.85–6.56 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 8.41 4.80–12.01 3.85–12.97 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 12.14 8.22–16.07 7.13–17.16 | 12.04 8.48–15.60 7.52–16.56 | 24.18 16.70–31.67 14.65–33.72 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.11 5.17–11.05 4.34–11.88 | 7.31 4.63–9.99 3.89–10.73 | 15.42 9.80–21.04 8.23–22.61 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.35–5.12 0.81–5.66 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.94 | 43% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.53 2.32–6.74 1.74–7.32 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.90 | 8.89 4.68–13.11 3.57–14.21 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Possession % | 42.06 35.27–48.85 33.60–50.52 | 57.36 50.58–64.15 48.91–65.82 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 364 296–431 278–449 | 466 400–533 382–550 | 830 696–964 661–999 | 19% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.91 75.89–83.94 74.59–85.24 | 84.76 80.44–89.09 79.13–90.40 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.98 9.14–14.81 8.38–15.57 | 12.27 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 24.24 18.46–30.02 16.95–31.53 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.24–4.17 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 4.26 2.01–6.51 1.42–7.10 | 62% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.04 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 2.81 1.26–4.37 0.83–4.79 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+