Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.032.81safe0.81–2.750.18–1.880.99–4.63safer0.56–3.000.00–2.110.51–5.11
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.083.519.59safe4.22–7.951.77–5.255.99–13.20safer3.73–8.441.30–5.725.03–14.16
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0510.2226.26safe12.12–19.976.65–13.7818.77–33.75safer11.03–21.065.69–14.7416.72–35.80
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.526.8517.36safe7.58–13.464.17–9.5311.74–22.99safer6.75–14.293.43–10.2610.17–24.55
Blocked shots
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.566.75safe2.31–6.070.91–4.213.21–10.28safer1.76–6.610.41–4.702.18–11.32
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.123.679.79safe3.91–8.341.67–5.675.58–14.01safer3.33–8.911.14–6.204.47–15.11
Possession %
83%
15%
homeawayprediction58.6341.73safe51.84–65.4234.94–48.51safer50.17–67.0933.27–50.19
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction510361871safe443–577295–428738–1005safer425–595277–445702–1041
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction86.0379.96safe82.00–90.0675.64–84.29safer80.71–91.3574.33–85.60
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4412.4425.88safe10.60–16.279.49–15.3820.09–31.66safer9.84–17.038.75–16.1318.59–33.16
Offsides
43%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.563.31safe0.59–2.910.47–2.651.06–5.56safer0.29–3.210.18–2.940.47–6.15
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.124.30safe1.13–3.230.99–3.252.12–6.48safer0.86–3.490.70–3.541.56–7.03
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.796.25safe1.03–3.902.23–5.343.26–9.24safer0.64–4.291.81–5.772.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.03 0.18–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.08 4.22–7.95 3.73–8.44 | 3.51 1.77–5.25 1.30–5.72 | 9.59 5.99–13.20 5.03–14.16 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.05 12.12–19.97 11.03–21.06 | 10.22 6.65–13.78 5.69–14.74 | 26.26 18.77–33.75 16.72–35.80 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.52 7.58–13.46 6.75–14.29 | 6.85 4.17–9.53 3.43–10.26 | 17.36 11.74–22.99 10.17–24.55 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 2.56 0.91–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 6.75 3.21–10.28 2.18–11.32 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 6.12 3.91–8.34 3.33–8.91 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.14–6.20 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 58.63 51.84–65.42 50.17–67.09 | 41.73 34.94–48.51 33.27–50.19 | — | 83% 15% |
| Passes | 510 443–577 425–595 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 871 738–1005 702–1041 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.03 82.00–90.06 80.71–91.35 | 79.96 75.64–84.29 74.33–85.60 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 13.44 10.60–16.27 9.84–17.03 | 12.44 9.49–15.38 8.75–16.13 | 25.88 20.09–31.66 18.59–33.16 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.31 1.06–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 43% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.49 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 4.30 2.12–6.48 1.56–7.03 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 3.79 2.23–5.34 1.81–5.77 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.45–10.06 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.