Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
24%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.871.742.61safe0.00–1.840.88–2.590.79–4.43safer0.00–2.090.65–2.820.31–4.91
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.325.438.75safe1.46–5.183.68–7.175.14–12.35safer0.97–5.673.22–7.634.19–13.31
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0414.5424.58safe6.12–13.9710.98–18.1017.10–32.07safer5.03–15.0610.02–19.0615.05–34.12
Shots in box
20%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction6.359.1115.47safe3.41–9.306.43–11.799.84–21.09safer2.58–10.135.69–12.538.28–22.66
Blocked shots
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.454.096.53safe0.57–4.332.43–5.743.00–10.07safer0.02–4.871.94–6.231.96–11.11
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.605.529.11safe1.38–5.813.52–7.524.90–13.33safer0.81–6.382.98–8.053.79–14.44
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction35.7063.65safe28.91–42.5056.86–70.43safer27.24–44.1655.19–72.10
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction321544865safe254–388477–610731–999safer236–407460–628696–1034
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction76.4685.59safe72.44–80.4981.26–89.91safer71.14–81.7979.96–91.22
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5311.7525.29safe10.70–16.378.81–14.7019.50–31.07safer9.94–17.138.06–15.4518.00–32.57
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.713.67safe0.80–3.120.61–2.801.41–5.92safer0.50–3.420.32–3.090.82–6.51
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.043.98safe0.89–2.990.91–3.171.80–6.16safer0.63–3.260.62–3.461.24–6.72
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.505.89safe1.96–4.830.94–4.052.90–8.88safer1.57–5.220.52–4.482.09–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 1.74 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.82 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 19% 24% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.32 1.46–5.18 0.97–5.67 | 5.43 3.68–7.17 3.22–7.63 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.19–13.31 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.04 6.12–13.97 5.03–15.06 | 14.54 10.98–18.10 10.02–19.06 | 24.58 17.10–32.07 15.05–34.12 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.35 3.41–9.30 2.58–10.13 | 9.11 6.43–11.79 5.69–12.53 | 15.47 9.84–21.09 8.28–22.66 | 20% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 2.45 0.57–4.33 0.02–4.87 | 4.09 2.43–5.74 1.94–6.23 | 6.53 3.00–10.07 1.96–11.11 | 20% 13% 67% |
| Corners | 3.60 1.38–5.81 0.81–6.38 | 5.52 3.52–7.52 2.98–8.05 | 9.11 4.90–13.33 3.79–14.44 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 35.70 28.91–42.50 27.24–44.16 | 63.65 56.86–70.43 55.19–72.10 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 321 254–388 236–407 | 544 477–610 460–628 | 865 731–999 696–1034 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.46 72.44–80.49 71.14–81.79 | 85.59 81.26–89.91 79.96–91.22 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 13.53 10.70–16.37 9.94–17.13 | 11.75 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.45 | 25.29 19.50–31.07 18.00–32.57 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.67 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.72 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.50 0.94–4.05 0.52–4.48 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.09–9.69 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.