Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.632.69safe0.09–2.030.78–2.490.87–4.51safer0.00–2.280.55–2.720.39–4.99
Shots on target
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.934.648.57safe2.07–5.792.90–6.384.96–12.17safer1.58–6.282.43–6.854.01–13.13
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9713.8625.83safe8.05–15.9010.30–17.4218.35–33.32safer6.96–16.999.34–18.3816.29–35.37
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction6.288.9715.25safe3.34–9.226.29–11.659.63–20.87safer2.51–10.055.55–12.398.06–22.44
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.456.66safe1.33–5.091.80–5.103.13–10.20safer0.78–5.631.31–5.602.09–11.23
Corners
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.175.339.50safe1.96–6.383.33–7.335.29–13.72safer1.38–6.962.80–7.874.18–14.82
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.5658.87safe33.77–47.3552.08–65.65safer32.10–49.0250.41–67.32
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction342498840safe274–409432–565706–974safer256–427414–582671–1009
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction79.4385.47safe75.40–83.4681.15–89.80safer74.11–84.7579.84–91.10
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4314.9428.37safe10.59–16.2612.00–17.8922.59–34.15safer9.83–17.0211.25–18.6321.08–35.65
Offsides
16%
18%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.132.453.58safe0.00–2.291.36–3.541.32–5.83safer0.00–2.591.07–3.830.74–6.42
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.964.01safe1.00–3.100.83–3.091.83–6.19safer0.73–3.360.54–3.381.27–6.74
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.745.83safe1.66–4.531.18–4.302.84–8.82safer1.27–4.920.76–4.722.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.63 0.78–2.49 0.55–2.72 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 25% 25% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.93 2.07–5.79 1.58–6.28 | 4.64 2.90–6.38 2.43–6.85 | 8.57 4.96–12.17 4.01–13.13 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 11.97 8.05–15.90 6.96–16.99 | 13.86 10.30–17.42 9.34–18.38 | 25.83 18.35–33.32 16.29–35.37 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 6.28 3.34–9.22 2.51–10.05 | 8.97 6.29–11.65 5.55–12.39 | 15.25 9.63–20.87 8.06–22.44 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 3.45 1.80–5.10 1.31–5.60 | 6.66 3.13–10.20 2.09–11.23 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.17 1.96–6.38 1.38–6.96 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.80–7.87 | 9.50 5.29–13.72 4.18–14.82 | 29% 58% |
| Possession % | 40.56 33.77–47.35 32.10–49.02 | 58.87 52.08–65.65 50.41–67.32 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 342 274–409 256–427 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 840 706–974 671–1009 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.43 75.40–83.46 74.11–84.75 | 85.47 81.15–89.80 79.84–91.10 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 13.43 10.59–16.26 9.83–17.02 | 14.94 12.00–17.89 11.25–18.63 | 28.37 22.59–34.15 21.08–35.65 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.13 0.00–2.29 0.00–2.59 | 2.45 1.36–3.54 1.07–3.83 | 3.58 1.32–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 16% 18% 66% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.27–6.74 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.74 1.18–4.30 0.76–4.72 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.03–9.64 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.