Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.140.933.07safe1.18–3.110.07–1.781.25–4.89safer0.93–3.360.00–2.010.77–5.37
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.193.399.59safe4.33–8.061.65–5.145.98–13.19safer3.84–8.551.19–5.605.03–14.15
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5410.4426.97safe12.61–20.466.87–14.0019.48–34.46safer11.52–21.555.91–14.9617.43–36.51
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.266.0617.32safe8.31–14.203.38–8.7411.69–22.94safer7.49–15.032.64–9.4810.13–24.51
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.062.686.74safe2.18–5.941.02–4.333.20–10.27safer1.63–6.480.53–4.822.16–11.31
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.323.479.79safe4.11–8.531.47–5.475.58–14.00safer3.53–9.110.94–6.004.47–15.11
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.9640.99safe54.17–67.7534.20–47.77safer52.50–69.4232.53–49.44
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction532362894safe465–599295–428760–1027safer446–617278–446724–1063
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction81.2075.14safe77.17–85.2370.82–79.47safer75.87–86.5269.51–80.78
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6414.5726.21safe8.80–14.4811.62–17.5120.42–31.99safer8.05–15.2310.87–18.2618.92–33.49
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.693.52safe0.67–2.990.59–2.781.26–5.77safer0.37–3.290.31–3.070.67–6.36
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.594.59safe0.95–3.051.46–3.722.41–6.77safer0.68–3.321.17–4.011.86–7.33
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.21safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.370.00–0.470.00–0.84
GK saves
26%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.686.23safe1.12–3.992.12–5.233.24–9.22safer0.73–4.381.69–5.662.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.18–3.11 0.93–3.36 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 3.07 1.25–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.19 4.33–8.06 3.84–8.55 | 3.39 1.65–5.14 1.19–5.60 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.54 12.61–20.46 11.52–21.55 | 10.44 6.87–14.00 5.91–14.96 | 26.97 19.48–34.46 17.43–36.51 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.26 8.31–14.20 7.49–15.03 | 6.06 3.38–8.74 2.64–9.48 | 17.32 11.69–22.94 10.13–24.51 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.06 2.18–5.94 1.63–6.48 | 2.68 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.74 3.20–10.27 2.16–11.31 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.53 3.53–9.11 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.94–6.00 | 9.79 5.58–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 60.96 54.17–67.75 52.50–69.42 | 40.99 34.20–47.77 32.53–49.44 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 446–617 | 362 295–428 278–446 | 894 760–1027 724–1063 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.20 77.17–85.23 75.87–86.52 | 75.14 70.82–79.47 69.51–80.78 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.64 8.80–14.48 8.05–15.23 | 14.57 11.62–17.51 10.87–18.26 | 26.21 20.42–31.99 18.92–33.49 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.32 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 4.59 2.41–6.77 1.86–7.33 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.68 2.12–5.23 1.69–5.66 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.43–10.04 | 26% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.