Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.413.29safe0.00–1.841.56–3.271.47–5.11safer0.00–2.091.33–3.500.99–5.59
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.186.559.73safe1.32–5.044.81–8.306.13–13.34safer0.83–5.534.34–8.765.17–14.29
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1118.1228.23safe6.19–14.0414.56–21.6920.75–35.72safer5.10–15.1313.60–22.6418.70–37.77
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9512.1218.08safe3.01–8.909.44–14.8012.45–23.70safer2.18–9.738.70–15.5410.89–25.27
Blocked shots
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.484.957.43safe0.60–4.373.29–6.603.89–10.97safer0.06–4.912.80–7.092.86–12.00
Corners
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.376.319.68safe1.16–5.594.31–8.315.47–13.89safer0.59–6.163.77–8.844.36–15.00
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.0260.62safe32.23–45.8153.84–67.41safer30.56–47.4852.17–69.08
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction324488811safe257–391421–554678–945safer238–409404–572642–981
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction75.9084.92safe71.87–79.9380.60–89.25safer70.58–81.2279.29–90.56
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7513.4025.15safe8.91–14.5810.46–16.3519.37–30.93safer8.15–15.349.71–17.0917.86–32.44
Offsides
58%
18%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.591.634.22safe1.43–3.750.54–2.731.97–6.48safer1.13–4.050.25–3.011.38–7.07
Yellow cards
48%
19%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.014.44safe1.38–3.480.88–3.142.26–6.62safer1.11–3.740.59–3.431.70–7.18
Red cards
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.110.28safe0.01–0.330.00–0.290.00–0.63safer0.00–0.480.00–0.430.00–0.91
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.336.91safe3.15–6.020.77–3.883.92–9.90safer2.76–6.410.34–4.313.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.41 1.56–3.27 1.33–3.50 | 3.29 1.47–5.11 0.99–5.59 | 17% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.18 1.32–5.04 0.83–5.53 | 6.55 4.81–8.30 4.34–8.76 | 9.73 6.13–13.34 5.17–14.29 | 82% |
| Total shots | 10.11 6.19–14.04 5.10–15.13 | 18.12 14.56–21.69 13.60–22.64 | 28.23 20.75–35.72 18.70–37.77 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 5.95 3.01–8.90 2.18–9.73 | 12.12 9.44–14.80 8.70–15.54 | 18.08 12.45–23.70 10.89–25.27 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.48 0.60–4.37 0.06–4.91 | 4.95 3.29–6.60 2.80–7.09 | 7.43 3.89–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 13% 77% |
| Corners | 3.37 1.16–5.59 0.59–6.16 | 6.31 4.31–8.31 3.77–8.84 | 9.68 5.47–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 13% 78% |
| Possession % | 39.02 32.23–45.81 30.56–47.48 | 60.62 53.84–67.41 52.17–69.08 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 238–409 | 488 421–554 404–572 | 811 678–945 642–981 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.90 71.87–79.93 70.58–81.22 | 84.92 80.60–89.25 79.29–90.56 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.75 8.91–14.58 8.15–15.34 | 13.40 10.46–16.35 9.71–17.09 | 25.15 19.37–30.93 17.86–32.44 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.59 1.43–3.75 1.13–4.05 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.01 | 4.22 1.97–6.48 1.38–7.07 | 58% 18% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.43 1.38–3.48 1.11–3.74 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 4.44 2.26–6.62 1.70–7.18 | 48% 19% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 14% 77% |
| GK saves | 4.59 3.15–6.02 2.76–6.41 | 2.33 0.77–3.88 0.34–4.31 | 6.91 3.92–9.90 3.11–10.72 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.