Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.183.27safe0.13–2.061.32–3.031.45–5.10safer0.00–2.321.10–3.260.97–5.58
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.616.189.78safe1.74–5.474.43–7.926.18–13.39safer1.25–5.963.97–8.395.22–14.34
Total shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5215.8026.32safe6.60–14.4512.24–19.3618.84–33.81safer5.51–15.5411.28–20.3216.78–35.86
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1611.0418.19safe4.22–10.108.35–13.7212.57–23.82safer3.39–10.937.62–14.4511.00–25.38
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.794.917.70safe0.91–4.673.25–6.564.16–11.23safer0.37–5.222.76–7.053.13–12.27
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.026.0410.06safe1.81–6.234.04–8.045.85–14.27safer1.23–6.813.51–8.574.74–15.38
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction33.4366.53safe26.64–40.2259.75–73.32safer24.97–41.8958.08–74.99
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction267534800safe199–334467–600667–934safer181–352450–618631–970
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction65.2081.22safe61.17–69.2376.90–85.55safer59.88–70.5275.59–86.86
Fouls
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6311.2525.88safe11.80–17.478.30–14.1920.10–31.66safer11.04–18.237.55–14.9418.59–33.17
Offsides
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.874.05safe1.02–3.340.78–2.971.80–6.30safer0.72–3.640.49–3.251.21–6.89
Yellow cards
51%
19%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.884.33safe1.40–3.500.75–3.012.15–6.51safer1.14–3.770.46–3.301.59–7.06
Red cards
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.110.28safe0.01–0.330.00–0.300.00–0.63safer0.00–0.480.00–0.430.00–0.91
GK saves
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.042.496.53safe2.60–5.480.93–4.043.53–9.52safer2.22–5.860.51–4.472.72–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.06 0.00–2.32 | 2.18 1.32–3.03 1.10–3.26 | 3.27 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.61 1.74–5.47 1.25–5.96 | 6.18 4.43–7.92 3.97–8.39 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.34 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.52 6.60–14.45 5.51–15.54 | 15.80 12.24–19.36 11.28–20.32 | 26.32 18.84–33.81 16.78–35.86 | 82% |
| Shots in box | 7.16 4.22–10.10 3.39–10.93 | 11.04 8.35–13.72 7.62–14.45 | 18.19 12.57–23.82 11.00–25.38 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.79 0.91–4.67 0.37–5.22 | 4.91 3.25–6.56 2.76–7.05 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.23 1.23–6.81 | 6.04 4.04–8.04 3.51–8.57 | 10.06 5.85–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 33.43 26.64–40.22 24.97–41.89 | 66.53 59.75–73.32 58.08–74.99 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 267 199–334 181–352 | 534 467–600 450–618 | 800 667–934 631–970 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.20 61.17–69.23 59.88–70.52 | 81.22 76.90–85.55 75.59–86.86 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 14.63 11.80–17.47 11.04–18.23 | 11.25 8.30–14.19 7.55–14.94 | 25.88 20.10–31.66 18.59–33.17 | 71% 22% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.64 | 1.87 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.25 | 4.05 1.80–6.30 1.21–6.89 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.45 1.40–3.50 1.14–3.77 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 4.33 2.15–6.51 1.59–7.06 | 51% 19% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 14% 77% |
| GK saves | 4.04 2.60–5.48 2.22–5.86 | 2.49 0.93–4.04 0.51–4.47 | 6.53 3.53–9.52 2.72–10.33 | 66% 13% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.