Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
29%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.052.24safe0.22–2.160.20–1.910.42–4.06safer0.00–2.410.00–2.140.00–4.54
Shots on target
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.817.73safe2.05–5.782.07–5.554.12–11.33safer1.56–6.271.60–6.023.17–12.29
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5612.5225.08safe8.63–16.488.96–16.0817.59–32.57safer7.54–17.588.00–17.0415.54–34.62
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.026.9915.01safe5.08–10.964.31–9.679.39–20.64safer4.25–11.793.58–10.417.82–22.20
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.506.81safe1.42–5.191.85–5.153.27–10.34safer0.88–5.731.36–5.652.24–11.38
Corners
46%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.774.559.32safe2.56–6.992.54–6.555.11–13.53safer1.99–7.562.01–7.084.00–14.64
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.9848.36safe45.19–58.7741.57–55.14safer43.52–60.4439.90–56.82
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction441404844safe374–508337–470711–978safer355–526320–488675–1014
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction82.3081.65safe78.27–86.3377.33–85.97safer76.97–87.6276.02–87.28
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4914.1126.60safe9.65–15.3311.17–17.0620.82–32.38safer8.90–16.0810.42–17.8119.32–33.89
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.242.94safe0.54–2.870.15–2.330.69–5.20safer0.24–3.170.00–2.620.10–5.79
Yellow cards
35%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.374.44safe1.02–3.121.24–3.492.26–6.62safer0.76–3.390.95–3.791.70–7.17
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.802.635.44safe1.37–4.241.08–4.192.45–8.43safer0.98–4.630.65–4.621.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.24 0.42–4.06 0.00–4.54 | 39% 29% 32% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.05–5.78 1.56–6.27 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 7.73 4.12–11.33 3.17–12.29 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.56 8.63–16.48 7.54–17.58 | 12.52 8.96–16.08 8.00–17.04 | 25.08 17.59–32.57 15.54–34.62 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.02 5.08–10.96 4.25–11.79 | 6.99 4.31–9.67 3.58–10.41 | 15.01 9.39–20.64 7.82–22.20 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.42–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.36–5.65 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 4.77 2.56–6.99 1.99–7.56 | 4.55 2.54–6.55 2.01–7.08 | 9.32 5.11–13.53 4.00–14.64 | 46% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 51.98 45.19–58.77 43.52–60.44 | 48.36 41.57–55.14 39.90–56.82 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 355–526 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 844 711–978 675–1014 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.30 78.27–86.33 76.97–87.62 | 81.65 77.33–85.97 76.02–87.28 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 12.49 9.65–15.33 8.90–16.08 | 14.11 11.17–17.06 10.42–17.81 | 26.60 20.82–32.38 19.32–33.89 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.54–2.87 0.24–3.17 | 1.24 0.15–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 2.94 0.69–5.20 0.10–5.79 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.76–3.39 | 2.37 1.24–3.49 0.95–3.79 | 4.44 2.26–6.62 1.70–7.17 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 2.63 1.08–4.19 0.65–4.62 | 5.44 2.45–8.43 1.63–9.24 | 44% 18% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+