Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.910.942.85safe0.94–2.880.09–1.801.03–4.68safer0.69–3.130.00–2.020.55–5.16
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.713.288.99safe3.84–7.571.54–5.035.38–12.59safer3.35–8.061.08–5.494.43–13.55
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2210.7527.97safe13.30–21.157.19–14.3120.48–35.46safer12.21–22.246.23–15.2718.43–37.51
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.526.4216.94safe7.58–13.463.74–9.1011.32–22.57safer6.75–14.293.01–9.849.75–24.13
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.652.887.53safe2.77–6.531.23–4.534.00–11.07safer2.23–7.080.74–5.032.96–12.10
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.849.96safe3.91–8.341.84–5.845.75–14.18safer3.34–8.911.30–6.374.64–15.28
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.8640.37safe53.07–66.6533.59–47.16safer51.40–68.3231.92–48.83
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction499337836safe432–566271–404703–970safer414–585253–421667–1006
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction86.3577.82safe82.32–90.3873.49–82.14safer81.03–91.6772.18–83.45
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3214.0326.35safe9.48–15.1611.08–16.9720.56–32.13safer8.72–15.9110.34–17.7219.06–33.63
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.432.98safe0.39–2.710.34–2.520.73–5.24safer0.09–3.020.05–2.810.14–5.83
Yellow cards
31%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.234.02safe0.74–2.831.10–3.361.84–6.19safer0.47–3.100.81–3.651.28–6.75
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
20%
13%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.996.40safe0.97–3.852.43–5.543.41–9.39safer0.59–4.232.01–5.972.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.02 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.71 3.84–7.57 3.35–8.06 | 3.28 1.54–5.03 1.08–5.49 | 8.99 5.38–12.59 4.43–13.55 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.22 13.30–21.15 12.21–22.24 | 10.75 7.19–14.31 6.23–15.27 | 27.97 20.48–35.46 18.43–37.51 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.52 7.58–13.46 6.75–14.29 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.01–9.84 | 16.94 11.32–22.57 9.75–24.13 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.77–6.53 2.23–7.08 | 2.88 1.23–4.53 0.74–5.03 | 7.53 4.00–11.07 2.96–12.10 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.91–8.34 3.34–8.91 | 3.84 1.84–5.84 1.30–6.37 | 9.96 5.75–14.18 4.64–15.28 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 59.86 53.07–66.65 51.40–68.32 | 40.37 33.59–47.16 31.92–48.83 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 499 432–566 414–585 | 337 271–404 253–421 | 836 703–970 667–1006 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.35 82.32–90.38 81.03–91.67 | 77.82 73.49–82.14 72.18–83.45 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.32 9.48–15.16 8.72–15.91 | 14.03 11.08–16.97 10.34–17.72 | 26.35 20.56–32.13 19.06–33.63 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.02 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 2.98 0.73–5.24 0.14–5.83 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.02 1.84–6.19 1.28–6.75 | 31% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.97–3.85 0.59–4.23 | 3.99 2.43–5.54 2.01–5.97 | 6.40 3.41–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 20% 13% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.