Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.550.972.51safe0.58–2.510.11–1.820.69–4.34safer0.33–2.770.00–2.050.21–4.82
Shots on target
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.653.398.05safe2.79–6.521.65–5.144.44–11.65safer2.30–7.011.19–5.603.49–12.61
Total shots
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6510.1023.74safe9.72–17.576.54–13.6616.26–31.23safer8.63–18.665.58–14.6214.21–33.28
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.315.9215.23safe6.36–12.253.24–8.609.61–20.85safer5.53–13.082.51–9.348.04–22.42
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.676.54safe1.99–5.751.02–4.333.01–10.08safer1.44–6.290.53–4.821.97–11.11
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.333.869.19safe3.11–7.541.86–5.864.97–13.40safer2.54–8.121.33–6.393.87–14.51
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction51.6747.67safe44.88–58.4640.89–54.46safer43.21–60.1339.22–56.13
Passes
58%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction422396818safe355–489329–462684–951safer337–507312–480648–987
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction82.9581.11safe78.92–86.9876.78–85.43safer77.63–88.2775.47–86.74
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2413.2927.52safe11.40–17.0810.34–16.2321.74–33.31safer10.64–17.839.59–16.9820.24–34.81
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.593.07safe0.32–2.640.49–2.680.81–5.32safer0.02–2.940.21–2.970.22–5.91
Yellow cards
31%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.344.16safe0.78–2.871.21–3.471.98–6.34safer0.51–3.140.92–3.761.43–6.90
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.075.52safe1.01–3.891.52–4.632.53–8.52safer0.63–4.271.09–5.051.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.51 0.33–2.77 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.51 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 51% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.52 2.30–7.01 | 3.39 1.65–5.14 1.19–5.60 | 8.05 4.44–11.65 3.49–12.61 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.65 9.72–17.57 8.63–18.66 | 10.10 6.54–13.66 5.58–14.62 | 23.74 16.26–31.23 14.21–33.28 | 73% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.31 6.36–12.25 5.53–13.08 | 5.92 3.24–8.60 2.51–9.34 | 15.23 9.61–20.85 8.04–22.42 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 2.67 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.54 3.01–10.08 1.97–11.11 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.33 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.12 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.39 | 9.19 4.97–13.40 3.87–14.51 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 51.67 44.88–58.46 43.21–60.13 | 47.67 40.89–54.46 39.22–56.13 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 422 355–489 337–507 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 818 684–951 648–987 | 58% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.95 78.92–86.98 77.63–88.27 | 81.11 76.78–85.43 75.47–86.74 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 14.24 11.40–17.08 10.64–17.83 | 13.29 10.34–16.23 9.59–16.98 | 27.52 21.74–33.31 20.24–34.81 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.07 0.81–5.32 0.22–5.91 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 31% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.89 0.63–4.27 | 3.07 1.52–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.52 2.53–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.