Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.682.96safe0.31–2.240.83–2.541.14–4.78safer0.06–2.490.60–2.770.66–5.26
Shots on target
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.435.099.52safe2.57–6.293.34–6.835.91–13.12safer2.08–6.782.88–7.294.96–14.08
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1313.6525.77safe8.20–16.0510.08–17.2118.29–33.26safer7.11–17.159.12–18.1716.24–35.31
Shots in box
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.809.5317.33safe4.86–10.746.85–12.2111.71–22.95safer4.03–11.576.11–12.9510.14–24.52
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.847.09safe1.36–5.132.19–5.503.55–10.62safer0.82–5.671.70–5.992.51–11.66
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.505.119.60safe2.28–6.713.11–7.115.39–13.81safer1.71–7.282.57–7.644.28–14.92
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.4049.50safe44.61–58.1942.71–56.28safer42.94–59.8641.04–57.95
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction426407834safe359–493341–474700–967safer341–512323–491664–1003
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction82.9482.30safe78.91–86.9777.97–86.62safer77.62–88.2676.66–87.93
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0912.1025.18safe10.25–15.929.15–15.0419.40–30.97safer9.49–16.688.40–15.7917.90–32.47
Offsides
56%
18%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.751.894.64safe1.59–3.910.79–2.982.39–6.89safer1.29–4.220.50–3.271.80–7.48
Yellow cards
44%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.934.09safe1.12–3.210.80–3.061.92–6.27safer0.85–3.480.51–3.351.36–6.83
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.23safe0.00–0.310.00–0.270.00–0.57safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.86
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.166.71safe2.12–4.991.60–4.713.72–9.70safer1.73–5.381.17–5.142.91–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.24 0.06–2.49 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.29 2.08–6.78 | 5.09 3.34–6.83 2.88–7.29 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 35% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.13 8.20–16.05 7.11–17.15 | 13.65 10.08–17.21 9.12–18.17 | 25.77 18.29–33.26 16.24–35.31 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.80 4.86–10.74 4.03–11.57 | 9.53 6.85–12.21 6.11–12.95 | 17.33 11.71–22.95 10.14–24.52 | 30% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 3.84 2.19–5.50 1.70–5.99 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.51–11.66 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.50 2.28–6.71 1.71–7.28 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.57–7.64 | 9.60 5.39–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 51.40 44.61–58.19 42.94–59.86 | 49.50 42.71–56.28 41.04–57.95 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 426 359–493 341–512 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 834 700–967 664–1003 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.94 78.91–86.97 77.62–88.26 | 82.30 77.97–86.62 76.66–87.93 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 13.09 10.25–15.92 9.49–16.68 | 12.10 9.15–15.04 8.40–15.79 | 25.18 19.40–30.97 17.90–32.47 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.75 1.59–3.91 1.29–4.22 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 4.64 2.39–6.89 1.80–7.48 | 56% 18% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.12–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 4.09 1.92–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 44% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.14 | 6.71 3.72–9.70 2.91–10.51 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+