Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
25%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.612.50safe0.00–1.860.75–2.460.67–4.32safer0.00–2.110.53–2.690.19–4.80
Shots on target
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.014.667.67safe1.15–4.882.91–6.404.06–11.27safer0.66–5.372.45–6.863.11–12.23
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8414.4724.31safe5.92–13.7710.91–18.0316.83–31.80safer4.83–14.869.95–18.9914.78–33.85
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.569.0314.59safe2.62–8.506.35–11.718.97–20.21safer1.79–9.335.61–12.457.40–21.78
Blocked shots
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.736.31safe0.70–4.462.08–5.382.77–9.84safer0.15–5.001.59–5.881.74–10.88
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.645.328.96safe1.43–5.863.31–7.324.74–13.17safer0.86–6.432.78–7.853.64–14.28
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.1655.61safe37.37–50.9548.82–62.39safer35.70–52.6247.15–64.06
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction384480865safe317–452414–547731–998safer299–470396–564695–1034
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction78.2083.69safe74.17–82.2379.36–88.01safer72.88–83.5278.05–89.32
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1913.4724.66safe8.36–14.0310.52–16.4118.88–30.44safer7.60–14.799.77–17.1617.37–31.95
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.783.32safe0.39–2.710.68–2.871.07–5.58safer0.09–3.010.39–3.160.48–6.17
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.294.41safe1.08–3.181.16–3.422.24–6.59safer0.81–3.440.87–3.711.68–7.15
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.375.65safe1.85–4.720.82–3.932.66–8.64safer1.46–5.100.39–4.351.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 1.61 0.75–2.46 0.53–2.69 | 2.50 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 21% 25% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.01 1.15–4.88 0.66–5.37 | 4.66 2.91–6.40 2.45–6.86 | 7.67 4.06–11.27 3.11–12.23 | 22% 66% |
| Total shots | 9.84 5.92–13.77 4.83–14.86 | 14.47 10.91–18.03 9.95–18.99 | 24.31 16.83–31.80 14.78–33.85 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 5.56 2.62–8.50 1.79–9.33 | 9.03 6.35–11.71 5.61–12.45 | 14.59 8.97–20.21 7.40–21.78 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 2.58 0.70–4.46 0.15–5.00 | 3.73 2.08–5.38 1.59–5.88 | 6.31 2.77–9.84 1.74–10.88 | 25% 15% 60% |
| Corners | 3.64 1.43–5.86 0.86–6.43 | 5.32 3.31–7.32 2.78–7.85 | 8.96 4.74–13.17 3.64–14.28 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 44.16 37.37–50.95 35.70–52.62 | 55.61 48.82–62.39 47.15–64.06 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 384 317–452 299–470 | 480 414–547 396–564 | 865 731–998 695–1034 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.20 74.17–82.23 72.88–83.52 | 83.69 79.36–88.01 78.05–89.32 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 11.19 8.36–14.03 7.60–14.79 | 13.47 10.52–16.41 9.77–17.16 | 24.66 18.88–30.44 17.37–31.95 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.78 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.16 | 3.32 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.44 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.41 2.24–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.85–4.72 1.46–5.10 | 2.37 0.82–3.93 0.39–4.35 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.85–9.46 | 57% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.