Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.852.903.75safe0.00–1.822.04–3.751.93–5.57safer0.00–2.071.82–3.981.45–6.05
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.167.2610.42safe1.30–5.025.52–9.006.81–14.02safer0.81–5.515.05–9.475.86–14.98
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6717.6327.31safe5.75–13.6014.07–21.2019.82–34.79safer4.66–14.6913.11–22.1617.77–36.84
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction4.9912.3017.28safe2.04–7.939.62–14.9811.66–22.90safer1.21–8.768.88–15.7110.09–24.47
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.614.667.28safe0.73–4.503.01–6.323.74–10.81safer0.19–5.042.52–6.812.71–11.85
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.166.459.62safe0.95–5.384.45–8.455.40–13.83safer0.38–5.953.92–8.994.30–14.94
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction35.8663.68safe29.07–42.6556.89–70.46safer27.40–44.3255.22–72.13
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction309538846safe241–376471–604713–980safer223–394454–622677–1016
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction75.0285.26safe70.99–79.0580.94–89.58safer69.70–80.3479.63–90.89
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0313.7126.74safe10.19–15.8710.77–16.6620.96–32.52safer9.44–16.6310.02–17.4019.46–34.03
Offsides
20%
17%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.844.43safe0.43–2.751.75–3.932.18–6.69safer0.13–3.061.46–4.221.59–7.28
Yellow cards
47%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.944.23safe1.24–3.340.81–3.072.05–6.41safer0.97–3.600.52–3.361.49–6.96
Red cards
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.110.31safe0.03–0.350.00–0.300.00–0.65safer0.00–0.500.00–0.430.00–0.94
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.582.346.92safe3.14–6.010.78–3.903.92–9.91safer2.75–6.400.36–4.323.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.07 | 2.90 2.04–3.75 1.82–3.98 | 3.75 1.93–5.57 1.45–6.05 | 79% |
| Shots on target | 3.16 1.30–5.02 0.81–5.51 | 7.26 5.52–9.00 5.05–9.47 | 10.42 6.81–14.02 5.86–14.98 | 87% |
| Total shots | 9.67 5.75–13.60 4.66–14.69 | 17.63 14.07–21.20 13.11–22.16 | 27.31 19.82–34.79 17.77–36.84 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 4.99 2.04–7.93 1.21–8.76 | 12.30 9.62–14.98 8.88–15.71 | 17.28 11.66–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 2.61 0.73–4.50 0.19–5.04 | 4.66 3.01–6.32 2.52–6.81 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 3.16 0.95–5.38 0.38–5.95 | 6.45 4.45–8.45 3.92–8.99 | 9.62 5.40–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 82% |
| Possession % | 35.86 29.07–42.65 27.40–44.32 | 63.68 56.89–70.46 55.22–72.13 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 309 241–376 223–394 | 538 471–604 454–622 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.02 70.99–79.05 69.70–80.34 | 85.26 80.94–89.58 79.63–90.89 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.03 10.19–15.87 9.44–16.63 | 13.71 10.77–16.66 10.02–17.40 | 26.74 20.96–32.52 19.46–34.03 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.06 | 2.84 1.75–3.93 1.46–4.22 | 4.43 2.18–6.69 1.59–7.28 | 20% 17% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.34 0.97–3.60 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.49–6.96 | 47% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 16% 75% |
| GK saves | 4.58 3.14–6.01 2.75–6.40 | 2.34 0.78–3.90 0.36–4.32 | 6.92 3.92–9.91 3.11–10.72 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+