Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.920.683.60safe1.95–3.880.00–1.541.78–5.42safer1.70–4.140.00–1.771.30–5.90
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.592.6510.24safe5.73–9.450.90–4.396.63–13.84safer5.24–9.940.44–4.855.68–14.80
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.728.0428.76safe16.80–24.654.47–11.6021.27–36.25safer15.71–25.743.52–12.5619.22–38.30
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.564.4118.97safe11.62–17.501.73–7.0913.34–24.59safer10.79–18.330.99–7.8311.78–26.16
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.072.147.21safe3.19–6.950.48–3.793.67–10.74safer2.64–7.500.00–4.282.64–11.78
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.692.8510.53safe5.47–9.900.85–4.856.32–14.75safer4.90–10.470.31–5.385.21–15.85
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.6435.01safe58.85–72.4328.23–41.80safer57.18–74.1026.56–43.47
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction591329920safe524–658262–395786–1054safer506–677245–413751–1089
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction85.1473.59safe81.11–89.1769.26–77.91safer79.82–90.4667.96–79.22
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9813.7925.77safe9.14–14.8210.84–16.7319.98–31.55safer8.39–15.5710.09–17.4818.48–33.05
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.543.23safe0.53–2.850.44–2.630.98–5.48safer0.23–3.150.16–2.920.39–6.07
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.213.57safe0.31–2.411.08–3.341.39–5.75safer0.04–2.670.79–3.630.83–6.31
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.79
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.914.816.71safe0.47–3.343.25–6.363.72–9.70safer0.08–3.732.83–6.792.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.92 1.95–3.88 1.70–4.14 | 0.68 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.77 | 3.60 1.78–5.42 1.30–5.90 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 7.59 5.73–9.45 5.24–9.94 | 2.65 0.90–4.39 0.44–4.85 | 10.24 6.63–13.84 5.68–14.80 | 92% |
| Total shots | 20.72 16.80–24.65 15.71–25.74 | 8.04 4.47–11.60 3.52–12.56 | 28.76 21.27–36.25 19.22–38.30 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.56 11.62–17.50 10.79–18.33 | 4.41 1.73–7.09 0.99–7.83 | 18.97 13.34–24.59 11.78–26.16 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.07 3.19–6.95 2.64–7.50 | 2.14 0.48–3.79 0.00–4.28 | 7.21 3.67–10.74 2.64–11.78 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.69 5.47–9.90 4.90–10.47 | 2.85 0.85–4.85 0.31–5.38 | 10.53 6.32–14.75 5.21–15.85 | 91% |
| Possession % | 65.64 58.85–72.43 57.18–74.10 | 35.01 28.23–41.80 26.56–43.47 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 591 524–658 506–677 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.14 81.11–89.17 79.82–90.46 | 73.59 69.26–77.91 67.96–79.22 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.98 9.14–14.82 8.39–15.57 | 13.79 10.84–16.73 10.09–17.48 | 25.77 19.98–31.55 18.48–33.05 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.23 0.98–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.31 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.91 0.47–3.34 0.08–3.73 | 4.81 3.25–6.36 2.83–6.79 | 6.71 3.72–9.70 2.91–10.52 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.