Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.422.63safe0.24–2.180.57–2.280.81–4.46safer0.00–2.430.34–2.500.33–4.94
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.284.318.59safe2.42–6.142.57–6.054.98–12.19safer1.93–6.632.10–6.524.03–13.15
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6113.3226.93safe9.69–17.549.76–16.8819.44–34.42safer8.59–18.638.80–17.8417.39–36.47
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.868.3317.20safe5.92–11.815.65–11.0111.57–22.82safer5.09–12.634.91–11.7510.01–24.39
Blocked shots
39%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.586.97safe1.50–5.271.93–5.233.43–10.50safer0.96–5.811.44–5.732.39–11.54
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.975.1410.12safe2.76–7.193.14–7.145.90–14.33safer2.19–7.762.61–7.684.80–15.44
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.8962.52safe30.10–43.6855.73–69.30safer28.43–45.3554.06–70.97
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction303506808safe235–370439–572675–942safer217–388422–590639–978
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction71.7282.03safe67.69–75.7577.71–86.35safer66.39–77.0476.40–87.66
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3911.6226.01safe11.55–17.228.68–14.5720.23–31.79safer10.79–17.987.93–15.3118.72–33.29
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.573.08safe0.36–2.680.47–2.660.83–5.34safer0.05–2.980.18–2.950.24–5.92
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.954.09safe1.09–3.190.82–3.081.91–6.27safer0.83–3.460.53–3.371.35–6.82
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.785.61safe1.40–4.271.23–4.342.62–8.61safer1.01–4.660.80–4.761.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.50 | 2.63 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.14 1.93–6.63 | 4.31 2.57–6.05 2.10–6.52 | 8.59 4.98–12.19 4.03–13.15 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.61 9.69–17.54 8.59–18.63 | 13.32 9.76–16.88 8.80–17.84 | 26.93 19.44–34.42 17.39–36.47 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.86 5.92–11.81 5.09–12.63 | 8.33 5.65–11.01 4.91–11.75 | 17.20 11.57–22.82 10.01–24.39 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 3.58 1.93–5.23 1.44–5.73 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.39–11.54 | 39% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.76–7.19 2.19–7.76 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.61–7.68 | 10.12 5.90–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 36.89 30.10–43.68 28.43–45.35 | 62.52 55.73–69.30 54.06–70.97 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 303 235–370 217–388 | 506 439–572 422–590 | 808 675–942 639–978 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.72 67.69–75.75 66.39–77.04 | 82.03 77.71–86.35 76.40–87.66 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 14.39 11.55–17.22 10.79–17.98 | 11.62 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.31 | 26.01 20.23–31.79 18.72–33.29 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 3.08 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.92 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.83–3.46 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.35–6.82 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 2.78 1.23–4.34 0.80–4.76 | 5.61 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.