Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.592.72safe0.16–2.100.73–2.440.90–4.54safer0.00–2.350.51–2.670.42–5.02
Shots on target
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.818.75safe2.08–5.813.07–6.555.15–12.36safer1.59–6.292.60–7.024.19–13.32
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2113.6225.84safe8.29–16.1410.06–17.1918.35–33.33safer7.20–17.239.10–18.1516.30–35.38
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.558.2015.75safe4.61–10.495.52–10.8810.13–21.37safer3.78–11.324.78–11.628.56–22.94
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.706.80safe1.22–4.992.05–5.353.27–10.34safer0.68–5.531.55–5.842.23–11.37
Corners
39%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.394.689.07safe2.17–6.602.68–6.684.85–13.28safer1.60–7.172.15–7.223.75–14.39
Possession %
24%
73%
homeawayprediction43.9255.03safe37.13–50.7148.25–61.82safer35.46–52.3846.58–63.49
Passes
24%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction391474865safe324–459408–541732–999safer306–477390–558696–1035
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction80.8384.88safe76.80–84.8680.56–89.20safer75.51–86.1679.25–90.51
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4412.7325.17safe9.61–15.289.79–15.6819.39–30.96safer8.85–16.049.04–16.4317.89–32.46
Offsides
67%
17%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.651.273.92safe1.48–3.810.18–2.371.67–6.17safer1.18–4.110.00–2.661.08–6.76
Yellow cards
40%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.024.07safe1.01–3.100.89–3.151.89–6.25safer0.74–3.370.60–3.441.34–6.81
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.846.02safe1.74–4.611.28–4.403.02–9.01safer1.35–5.000.86–4.822.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.51–2.67 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.81 1.59–6.29 | 4.81 3.07–6.55 2.60–7.02 | 8.75 5.15–12.36 4.19–13.32 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.21 8.29–16.14 7.20–17.23 | 13.62 10.06–17.19 9.10–18.15 | 25.84 18.35–33.33 16.30–35.38 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.55 4.61–10.49 3.78–11.32 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.78–11.62 | 15.75 10.13–21.37 8.56–22.94 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.22–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.70 2.05–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 6.80 3.27–10.34 2.23–11.37 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.39 2.17–6.60 1.60–7.17 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.22 | 9.07 4.85–13.28 3.75–14.39 | 39% 13% 47% |
| Possession % | 43.92 37.13–50.71 35.46–52.38 | 55.03 48.25–61.82 46.58–63.49 | — | 24% 73% |
| Passes | 391 324–459 306–477 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 24% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.83 76.80–84.86 75.51–86.16 | 84.88 80.56–89.20 79.25–90.51 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.61–15.28 8.85–16.04 | 12.73 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.43 | 25.17 19.39–30.96 17.89–32.46 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.65 1.48–3.81 1.18–4.11 | 1.27 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.92 1.67–6.17 1.08–6.76 | 67% 17% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.01–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.34–6.81 | 40% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 2.84 1.28–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 6.02 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+