Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.700.952.65safe0.73–2.670.10–1.800.83–4.48safer0.48–2.920.00–2.030.35–4.95
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.383.588.96safe3.52–7.241.84–5.325.36–12.57safer3.03–7.731.37–5.794.40–13.52
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2410.6425.88safe11.31–19.167.08–14.2118.39–33.37safer10.22–20.266.12–15.1616.34–35.42
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.416.1215.54safe6.47–12.353.44–8.809.91–21.16safer5.64–13.182.71–9.548.35–22.73
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.972.526.50safe2.09–5.850.87–4.182.96–10.03safer1.55–6.400.38–4.671.93–11.07
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.063.819.87safe3.85–8.281.81–5.815.66–14.08safer3.27–8.851.27–6.344.55–15.19
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction58.7441.23safe51.95–65.5334.44–48.01safer50.28–67.2032.77–49.68
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction477353830safe410–544287–420697–964safer392–562269–437661–1000
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction82.7477.28safe78.71–86.7772.96–81.61safer77.42–88.0671.65–82.91
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0114.6226.64safe9.18–14.8511.68–17.5720.85–32.42safer8.42–15.6110.93–18.3219.35–33.92
Offsides
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.923.82safe0.74–3.060.83–3.021.57–6.07safer0.44–3.360.54–3.300.98–6.66
Yellow cards
33%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.664.90safe1.19–3.291.53–3.792.72–7.08safer0.92–3.551.24–4.082.16–7.63
Red cards
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.160.26safe0.00–0.260.00–0.350.00–0.61safer0.00–0.410.00–0.480.00–0.89
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.465.90safe1.00–3.871.90–5.022.90–8.89safer0.61–4.261.48–5.442.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 0.95 0.10–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.65 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.95 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.38 3.52–7.24 3.03–7.73 | 3.58 1.84–5.32 1.37–5.79 | 8.96 5.36–12.57 4.40–13.52 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.24 11.31–19.16 10.22–20.26 | 10.64 7.08–14.21 6.12–15.16 | 25.88 18.39–33.37 16.34–35.42 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.41 6.47–12.35 5.64–13.18 | 6.12 3.44–8.80 2.71–9.54 | 15.54 9.91–21.16 8.35–22.73 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.85 1.55–6.40 | 2.52 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 6.50 2.96–10.03 1.93–11.07 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 6.06 3.85–8.28 3.27–8.85 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.27–6.34 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 58.74 51.95–65.53 50.28–67.20 | 41.23 34.44–48.01 32.77–49.68 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 477 410–544 392–562 | 353 287–420 269–437 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.74 78.71–86.77 77.42–88.06 | 77.28 72.96–81.61 71.65–82.91 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.18–14.85 8.42–15.61 | 14.62 11.68–17.57 10.93–18.32 | 26.64 20.85–32.42 19.35–33.92 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.92 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.30 | 3.82 1.57–6.07 0.98–6.66 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.92–3.55 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 4.90 2.72–7.08 2.16–7.63 | 33% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.46 1.90–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 5.90 2.90–8.89 2.09–9.70 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

