Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.002.54safe0.57–2.500.15–1.860.71–4.36safer0.31–2.750.00–2.090.23–4.84
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.453.418.86safe3.58–7.311.67–5.155.25–12.46safer3.09–7.801.20–5.624.30–13.42
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.069.7925.85safe12.14–19.996.23–13.3518.37–33.34safer11.05–21.085.27–14.3116.32–35.39
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.956.1416.09safe7.01–12.893.46–8.8210.47–21.71safer6.18–13.722.72–9.568.90–23.28
Blocked shots
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.132.306.42safe2.24–6.010.64–3.952.89–9.96safer1.70–6.550.15–4.441.85–10.99
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.573.859.42safe3.36–7.781.85–5.855.21–13.63safer2.78–8.361.32–6.384.10–14.74
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.2047.32safe45.41–58.9940.53–54.10safer43.74–60.6638.86–55.78
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction439390829safe372–506324–457695–963safer354–524306–474660–998
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction82.4778.96safe78.44–86.5074.64–83.29safer77.15–87.8073.33–84.59
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4912.6327.12safe11.65–17.339.68–15.5721.34–32.90safer10.90–18.088.93–16.3219.83–34.40
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.492.89safe0.23–2.550.40–2.590.63–5.14safer0.00–2.850.11–2.870.04–5.73
Yellow cards
37%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.554.87safe1.27–3.371.42–3.682.69–7.04safer1.00–3.631.13–3.972.13–7.60
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.283.605.88safe0.85–3.722.04–5.152.89–8.87safer0.46–4.111.62–5.582.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.57–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.54 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 50% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.45 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 3.41 1.67–5.15 1.20–5.62 | 8.86 5.25–12.46 4.30–13.42 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.06 12.14–19.99 11.05–21.08 | 9.79 6.23–13.35 5.27–14.31 | 25.85 18.37–33.34 16.32–35.39 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.01–12.89 6.18–13.72 | 6.14 3.46–8.82 2.72–9.56 | 16.09 10.47–21.71 8.90–23.28 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.24–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 2.30 0.64–3.95 0.15–4.44 | 6.42 2.89–9.96 1.85–10.99 | 70% 17% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.38 | 9.42 5.21–13.63 4.10–14.74 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 52.20 45.41–58.99 43.74–60.66 | 47.32 40.53–54.10 38.86–55.78 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 354–524 | 390 324–457 306–474 | 829 695–963 660–998 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.47 78.44–86.50 77.15–87.80 | 78.96 74.64–83.29 73.33–84.59 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 14.49 11.65–17.33 10.90–18.08 | 12.63 9.68–15.57 8.93–16.32 | 27.12 21.34–32.90 19.83–34.40 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.87 | 2.89 0.63–5.14 0.04–5.73 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.00–3.63 | 2.55 1.42–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 4.87 2.69–7.04 2.13–7.60 | 37% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.60 2.04–5.15 1.62–5.58 | 5.88 2.89–8.87 2.08–9.69 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.