Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.542.98safe0.47–2.410.68–2.391.16–4.80safer0.22–2.660.46–2.620.68–5.28
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.384.869.24safe2.52–6.243.12–6.605.63–12.84safer2.03–6.732.65–7.074.68–13.80
Total shots
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2413.0725.31safe8.31–16.169.51–16.6317.82–32.79safer7.22–17.258.55–17.5915.77–34.84
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.938.4516.38safe4.99–10.875.77–11.1310.76–22.00safer4.16–11.705.03–11.879.19–23.57
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.276.45safe1.30–5.061.62–4.922.92–9.99safer0.76–5.611.12–5.421.88–11.02
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.564.619.17safe2.34–6.772.61–6.614.96–13.38safer1.77–7.342.08–7.153.85–14.49
Possession %
45%
51%
homeawayprediction49.7250.98safe42.93–56.5144.19–57.76safer41.26–58.1842.52–59.43
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction403429833safe336–470363–496699–966safer318–489345–513663–1002
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction81.6182.03safe77.58–85.6477.70–86.35safer76.29–86.9376.39–87.66
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6312.3825.00safe9.79–15.479.43–15.3219.22–30.79safer9.03–16.228.68–16.0717.72–32.29
Offsides
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.873.004.86safe0.71–3.031.91–4.092.61–7.12safer0.40–3.331.62–4.382.02–7.71
Yellow cards
39%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.354.64safe1.24–3.341.22–3.482.46–6.82safer0.97–3.600.93–3.771.90–7.37
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.140.30safe0.00–0.320.00–0.330.00–0.65safer0.00–0.470.00–0.460.00–0.93
GK saves
42%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.043.046.08safe1.60–4.481.48–4.603.09–9.07safer1.22–4.861.06–5.022.28–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.54 0.68–2.39 0.46–2.62 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.24 2.03–6.73 | 4.86 3.12–6.60 2.65–7.07 | 9.24 5.63–12.84 4.68–13.80 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.24 8.31–16.16 7.22–17.25 | 13.07 9.51–16.63 8.55–17.59 | 25.31 17.82–32.79 15.77–34.84 | 40% 53% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.99–10.87 4.16–11.70 | 8.45 5.77–11.13 5.03–11.87 | 16.38 10.76–22.00 9.19–23.57 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.18 1.30–5.06 0.76–5.61 | 3.27 1.62–4.92 1.12–5.42 | 6.45 2.92–9.99 1.88–11.02 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.56 2.34–6.77 1.77–7.34 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 9.17 4.96–13.38 3.85–14.49 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.72 42.93–56.51 41.26–58.18 | 50.98 44.19–57.76 42.52–59.43 | — | 45% 51% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 318–489 | 429 363–496 345–513 | 833 699–966 663–1002 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.61 77.58–85.64 76.29–86.93 | 82.03 77.70–86.35 76.39–87.66 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 12.63 9.79–15.47 9.03–16.22 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 25.00 19.22–30.79 17.72–32.29 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 3.00 1.91–4.09 1.62–4.38 | 4.86 2.61–7.12 2.02–7.71 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.34 0.97–3.60 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.64 2.46–6.82 1.90–7.37 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.60–4.48 1.22–4.86 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.28–9.88 | 42% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+