Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.902.80safe0.93–2.860.05–1.760.98–4.62safer0.68–3.120.00–1.990.50–5.10
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.119.02safe4.05–7.771.37–4.855.42–12.63safer3.56–8.260.90–5.324.46–13.58
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction17.788.6226.41safe13.86–21.715.06–12.1918.92–33.89safer12.77–22.804.10–13.1516.87–35.94
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.365.6016.96safe8.41–14.302.92–8.2911.34–22.58safer7.58–15.132.19–9.029.77–24.15
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction4.871.966.83safe2.99–6.750.30–3.613.29–10.36safer2.44–7.290.00–4.102.26–11.40
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.483.389.86safe4.26–8.691.38–5.385.64–14.07safer3.69–9.260.85–5.914.54–15.18
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.0836.48safe57.29–70.8729.70–43.27safer55.62–72.5428.03–44.94
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction553319873safe486–621253–386739–1007safer468–639235–403704–1042
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction84.5873.85safe80.55–88.6169.53–78.17safer79.26–89.9068.22–79.48
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8213.3026.12safe9.98–15.6610.35–16.2420.34–31.90safer9.23–16.419.61–16.9918.83–33.41
Offsides
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.793.71safe0.76–3.080.69–2.881.45–5.96safer0.46–3.380.41–3.170.86–6.55
Yellow cards
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.664.45safe0.74–2.841.53–3.792.27–6.63safer0.48–3.111.24–4.081.72–7.19
Red cards
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.170.25safe0.00–0.240.00–0.350.00–0.60safer0.00–0.390.00–0.490.00–0.88
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.103.966.06safe0.66–3.532.41–5.523.07–9.05safer0.27–3.921.98–5.942.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.86 0.68–3.12 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 61% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.91 4.05–7.77 3.56–8.26 | 3.11 1.37–4.85 0.90–5.32 | 9.02 5.42–12.63 4.46–13.58 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 17.78 13.86–21.71 12.77–22.80 | 8.62 5.06–12.19 4.10–13.15 | 26.41 18.92–33.89 16.87–35.94 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.36 8.41–14.30 7.58–15.13 | 5.60 2.92–8.29 2.19–9.02 | 16.96 11.34–22.58 9.77–24.15 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.87 2.99–6.75 2.44–7.29 | 1.96 0.30–3.61 0.00–4.10 | 6.83 3.29–10.36 2.26–11.40 | 83% |
| Corners | 6.48 4.26–8.69 3.69–9.26 | 3.38 1.38–5.38 0.85–5.91 | 9.86 5.64–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 80% |
| Possession % | 64.08 57.29–70.87 55.62–72.54 | 36.48 29.70–43.27 28.03–44.94 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 553 486–621 468–639 | 319 253–386 235–403 | 873 739–1007 704–1042 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.58 80.55–88.61 79.26–89.90 | 73.85 69.53–78.17 68.22–79.48 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.82 9.98–15.66 9.23–16.41 | 13.30 10.35–16.24 9.61–16.99 | 26.12 20.34–31.90 18.83–33.41 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.79 0.69–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 4.45 2.27–6.63 1.72–7.19 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.66–3.53 0.27–3.92 | 3.96 2.41–5.52 1.98–5.94 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

