Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.490.623.11safe1.52–3.460.00–1.481.29–4.94safer1.27–3.710.00–1.700.81–5.42
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.102.079.17safe5.24–8.960.33–3.825.57–12.78safer4.75–9.450.00–4.284.61–13.73
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction20.035.9025.93safe16.10–23.952.34–9.4618.44–33.41safer15.01–25.041.38–10.4216.39–35.46
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.023.5917.61safe11.08–16.960.91–6.2711.99–23.24safer10.25–17.790.17–7.0110.42–24.80
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.471.657.11safe3.59–7.350.00–3.303.58–10.65safer3.04–7.890.00–3.792.54–11.69
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.662.3710.02safe5.44–9.870.37–4.375.81–14.24safer4.87–10.440.00–4.904.70–15.34
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.2431.69safe61.45–75.0324.90–38.47safer59.78–76.7023.23–40.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction627294921safe560–694228–361787–1055safer541–712210–378752–1091
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction89.1174.19safe85.08–93.1369.87–78.52safer83.78–94.4368.56–79.83
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8011.1022.90safe8.96–14.648.15–14.0417.12–28.68safer8.21–15.397.41–14.7915.61–30.18
Offsides
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.043.78safe0.58–2.900.95–3.131.52–6.03safer0.28–3.200.66–3.420.93–6.62
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.013.38safe0.32–2.420.88–3.141.21–5.56safer0.06–2.690.59–3.430.65–6.12
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.130.17safe0.00–0.200.00–0.320.00–0.52safer0.00–0.350.00–0.450.00–0.80
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction1.744.536.27safe0.31–3.182.97–6.093.28–9.27safer0.00–3.572.55–6.512.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.49 1.52–3.46 1.27–3.71 | 0.62 0.00–1.48 0.00–1.70 | 3.11 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.10 5.24–8.96 4.75–9.45 | 2.07 0.33–3.82 0.00–4.28 | 9.17 5.57–12.78 4.61–13.73 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.03 16.10–23.95 15.01–25.04 | 5.90 2.34–9.46 1.38–10.42 | 25.93 18.44–33.41 16.39–35.46 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 14.02 11.08–16.96 10.25–17.79 | 3.59 0.91–6.27 0.17–7.01 | 17.61 11.99–23.24 10.42–24.80 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.47 3.59–7.35 3.04–7.89 | 1.65 0.00–3.30 0.00–3.79 | 7.11 3.58–10.65 2.54–11.69 | 90% |
| Corners | 7.66 5.44–9.87 4.87–10.44 | 2.37 0.37–4.37 0.00–4.90 | 10.02 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.34 | 94% |
| Possession % | 68.24 61.45–75.03 59.78–76.70 | 31.69 24.90–38.47 23.23–40.14 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 627 560–694 541–712 | 294 228–361 210–378 | 921 787–1055 752–1091 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.11 85.08–93.13 83.78–94.43 | 74.19 69.87–78.52 68.56–79.83 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.80 8.96–14.64 8.21–15.39 | 11.10 8.15–14.04 7.41–14.79 | 22.90 17.12–28.68 15.61–30.18 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 2.04 0.95–3.13 0.66–3.42 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.38 1.21–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.74 0.31–3.18 0.00–3.57 | 4.53 2.97–6.09 2.55–6.51 | 6.27 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

