Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.122.66safe0.57–2.510.27–1.980.84–4.48safer0.32–2.760.04–2.200.36–4.96
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.938.74safe2.95–6.672.19–5.675.13–12.34safer2.46–7.161.72–6.144.18–13.30
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0612.0626.11safe10.13–17.988.49–15.6218.63–33.60safer9.04–19.077.54–16.5816.58–35.65
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.296.8716.16safe6.34–12.234.19–9.5510.53–21.78safer5.51–13.063.45–10.298.97–23.35
Blocked shots
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.946.41safe1.59–5.351.28–4.592.87–9.94safer1.04–5.890.79–5.081.84–10.98
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.079.22safe2.95–7.372.07–6.075.01–13.44safer2.37–7.951.53–6.603.90–14.54
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.7947.30safe47.00–60.5840.51–54.08safer45.33–62.2538.84–55.76
Passes
68%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction428371799safe361–496304–437665–933safer343–514287–455630–968
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction83.1680.87safe79.13–87.1976.54–85.19safer77.83–88.4875.23–86.50
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9113.7328.64safe12.07–17.7410.79–16.6822.86–34.42safer11.31–18.5010.04–17.4221.35–35.92
Offsides
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.253.71safe1.30–3.620.16–2.351.46–5.97safer1.00–3.920.00–2.630.87–6.56
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.224.29safe1.03–3.131.09–3.352.12–6.47safer0.76–3.390.80–3.641.56–7.03
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.120.26safe0.00–0.300.00–0.310.00–0.61safer0.00–0.450.00–0.440.00–0.89
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.105.85safe1.32–4.191.54–4.652.86–8.84safer0.93–4.581.12–5.082.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.20 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 3.93 2.19–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 8.74 5.13–12.34 4.18–13.30 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.06 10.13–17.98 9.04–19.07 | 12.06 8.49–15.62 7.54–16.58 | 26.11 18.63–33.60 16.58–35.65 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.34–12.23 5.51–13.06 | 6.87 4.19–9.55 3.45–10.29 | 16.16 10.53–21.78 8.97–23.35 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 2.94 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 6.41 2.87–9.94 1.84–10.98 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.95–7.37 2.37–7.95 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.53–6.60 | 9.22 5.01–13.44 3.90–14.54 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 53.79 47.00–60.58 45.33–62.25 | 47.30 40.51–54.08 38.84–55.76 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 428 361–496 343–514 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 799 665–933 630–968 | 68% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.16 79.13–87.19 77.83–88.48 | 80.87 76.54–85.19 75.23–86.50 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 14.91 12.07–17.74 11.31–18.50 | 13.73 10.79–16.68 10.04–17.42 | 28.64 22.86–34.42 21.35–35.92 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.62 1.00–3.92 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.63 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.29 2.12–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.10 1.54–4.65 1.12–5.08 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.66 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

