Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.462.64safe0.21–2.140.60–2.310.81–4.46safer0.00–2.400.38–2.540.33–4.94
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.255.179.42safe2.38–6.113.43–6.915.81–13.02safer1.89–6.602.96–7.384.86–13.98
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8513.9926.84safe8.92–16.7710.43–17.5519.35–34.32safer7.83–17.869.47–18.5117.30–36.38
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.229.8218.04safe5.27–11.167.14–12.5112.42–23.66safer4.44–11.996.41–13.2410.85–25.23
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.574.067.63safe1.69–5.452.41–5.724.10–11.17safer1.14–6.001.92–6.213.06–12.21
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.375.2710.65safe3.16–7.593.27–7.276.43–14.86safer2.59–8.162.74–7.815.33–15.97
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.5544.50safe47.76–61.3437.71–51.28safer46.09–63.0136.04–52.95
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction393306699safe326–460239–372565–832safer308–478222–390529–868
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction75.6471.73safe71.61–79.6767.41–76.06safer70.32–80.9666.10–77.37
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8615.1827.04safe9.02–14.7012.24–18.1321.26–32.82safer8.27–15.4511.49–18.8819.76–34.33
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.693.31safe0.46–2.780.60–2.781.05–5.56safer0.15–3.080.31–3.070.46–6.15
Yellow cards
34%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.364.37safe0.96–3.061.23–3.492.19–6.55safer0.69–3.320.94–3.781.64–7.11
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.100.24safe0.00–0.300.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.450.00–0.420.00–0.87
GK saves
49%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.765.94safe1.75–4.621.20–4.312.95–8.93safer1.36–5.010.78–4.742.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.40 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.38–2.54 | 2.64 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 31% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.25 2.38–6.11 1.89–6.60 | 5.17 3.43–6.91 2.96–7.38 | 9.42 5.81–13.02 4.86–13.98 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.85 8.92–16.77 7.83–17.86 | 13.99 10.43–17.55 9.47–18.51 | 26.84 19.35–34.32 17.30–36.38 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.22 5.27–11.16 4.44–11.99 | 9.82 7.14–12.51 6.41–13.24 | 18.04 12.42–23.66 10.85–25.23 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.45 1.14–6.00 | 4.06 2.41–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.21 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.16–7.59 2.59–8.16 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.81 | 10.65 6.43–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 54.55 47.76–61.34 46.09–63.01 | 44.50 37.71–51.28 36.04–52.95 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 393 326–460 308–478 | 306 239–372 222–390 | 699 565–832 529–868 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.64 71.61–79.67 70.32–80.96 | 71.73 67.41–76.06 66.10–77.37 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.02–14.70 8.27–15.45 | 15.18 12.24–18.13 11.49–18.88 | 27.04 21.26–32.82 19.76–34.33 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.15–3.08 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.37 2.19–6.55 1.64–7.11 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.78–4.74 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.75 | 49% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+