Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.953.01safe0.09–2.021.10–2.801.18–4.83safer0.00–2.270.87–3.030.70–5.31
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.615.599.20safe1.75–5.473.85–7.345.60–12.81safer1.26–5.963.39–7.804.64–13.76
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8515.2926.15safe6.93–14.7811.73–18.8618.66–33.64safer5.84–15.8710.77–19.8216.61–35.69
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8910.7517.64safe3.95–9.838.07–13.4312.01–23.26safer3.12–10.667.33–14.1610.45–24.83
Blocked shots
30%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.043.936.97safe1.16–4.932.28–5.583.44–10.51safer0.62–5.471.78–6.072.40–11.54
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.185.739.91safe1.97–6.403.73–7.735.70–14.12safer1.40–6.973.19–8.264.59–15.23
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.7258.98safe33.93–47.5152.20–65.77safer32.26–49.1850.53–67.44
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction354497852safe287–421431–564718–985safer269–440413–581682–1021
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction76.4782.25safe72.44–80.5077.93–86.58safer71.15–81.7976.62–87.89
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6512.2425.89safe10.81–16.499.30–15.1920.11–31.68safer10.06–17.248.55–15.9418.61–33.18
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.723.18safe0.30–2.620.63–2.810.93–5.44safer0.00–2.930.34–3.100.34–6.03
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.372.294.66safe1.32–3.421.16–3.422.48–6.84safer1.05–3.680.87–3.711.92–7.40
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.120.27safe0.00–0.310.00–0.310.00–0.62safer0.00–0.460.00–0.440.00–0.90
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.662.596.25safe2.22–5.091.04–4.153.26–9.24safer1.83–5.480.61–4.572.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.95 1.10–2.80 0.87–3.03 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.61 1.75–5.47 1.26–5.96 | 5.59 3.85–7.34 3.39–7.80 | 9.20 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.76 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.85 6.93–14.78 5.84–15.87 | 15.29 11.73–18.86 10.77–19.82 | 26.15 18.66–33.64 16.61–35.69 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.89 3.95–9.83 3.12–10.66 | 10.75 8.07–13.43 7.33–14.16 | 17.64 12.01–23.26 10.45–24.83 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.04 1.16–4.93 0.62–5.47 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 6.97 3.44–10.51 2.40–11.54 | 30% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 4.18 1.97–6.40 1.40–6.97 | 5.73 3.73–7.73 3.19–8.26 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 40.72 33.93–47.51 32.26–49.18 | 58.98 52.20–65.77 50.53–67.44 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 354 287–421 269–440 | 497 431–564 413–581 | 852 718–985 682–1021 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.47 72.44–80.50 71.15–81.79 | 82.25 77.93–86.58 76.62–87.89 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.81–16.49 10.06–17.24 | 12.24 9.30–15.19 8.55–15.94 | 25.89 20.11–31.68 18.61–33.18 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.93 | 1.72 0.63–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.37 1.32–3.42 1.05–3.68 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.66 2.48–6.84 1.92–7.40 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.66 2.22–5.09 1.83–5.48 | 2.59 1.04–4.15 0.61–4.57 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.45–10.06 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+