Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.242.66safe0.44–2.380.39–2.100.83–4.48safer0.19–2.630.16–2.330.35–4.96
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.543.748.28safe2.68–6.402.00–5.484.68–11.89safer2.19–6.891.53–5.953.72–12.84
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2811.4126.69safe11.36–19.217.85–14.9819.21–34.18safer10.27–20.306.89–15.9317.16–36.23
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.776.6416.41safe6.83–12.713.96–9.3210.79–22.03safer6.00–13.543.22–10.069.22–23.60
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.157.09safe2.06–5.821.50–4.803.55–10.62safer1.51–6.371.00–5.292.52–11.66
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.979.41safe3.22–7.651.97–5.975.20–13.62safer2.65–8.221.44–6.514.09–14.73
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction54.8744.71safe48.08–61.6637.92–51.49safer46.41–63.3336.25–53.16
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction492395887safe425–559329–462754–1021safer407–577311–479718–1057
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction84.6981.57safe80.66–88.7177.24–85.89safer79.36–90.0175.94–87.20
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1013.9527.05safe10.26–15.9411.01–16.9021.27–32.83safer9.51–16.6910.26–17.6419.76–34.34
Offsides
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.172.82safe0.49–2.810.08–2.270.57–5.07safer0.19–3.110.00–2.550.00–5.66
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.254.16safe0.87–2.961.12–3.381.98–6.34safer0.60–3.230.83–3.671.43–6.90
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.446.21safe1.33–4.211.88–4.993.21–9.20safer0.95–4.591.46–5.422.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.66 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.96 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 8.28 4.68–11.89 3.72–12.84 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.28 11.36–19.21 10.27–20.30 | 11.41 7.85–14.98 6.89–15.93 | 26.69 19.21–34.18 17.16–36.23 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.77 6.83–12.71 6.00–13.54 | 6.64 3.96–9.32 3.22–10.06 | 16.41 10.79–22.03 9.22–23.60 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.51–6.37 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.44–6.51 | 9.41 5.20–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 54.87 48.08–61.66 46.41–63.33 | 44.71 37.92–51.49 36.25–53.16 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 492 425–559 407–577 | 395 329–462 311–479 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.69 80.66–88.71 79.36–90.01 | 81.57 77.24–85.89 75.94–87.20 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 13.10 10.26–15.94 9.51–16.69 | 13.95 11.01–16.90 10.26–17.64 | 27.05 21.27–32.83 19.76–34.34 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.17 0.08–2.27 0.00–2.55 | 2.82 0.57–5.07 0.00–5.66 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.21 0.95–4.59 | 3.44 1.88–4.99 1.46–5.42 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+