Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.012.56safe0.57–2.510.16–1.870.73–4.38safer0.32–2.760.00–2.100.25–4.86
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.863.448.30safe2.99–6.721.70–5.194.70–11.91safer2.50–7.211.24–5.653.74–12.86
Total shots
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9810.6924.67safe10.06–17.917.12–14.2517.18–32.15safer8.96–19.006.16–15.2115.13–34.20
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.825.7415.55safe6.87–12.763.06–8.429.93–21.18safer6.04–13.592.32–9.168.36–22.74
Blocked shots
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.652.456.09safe1.76–5.530.79–4.102.56–9.63safer1.22–6.070.30–4.591.52–10.66
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.503.659.15safe3.29–7.711.65–5.654.94–13.36safer2.71–8.291.12–6.183.83–14.47
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.9747.65safe46.18–59.7640.86–54.43safer44.51–61.4339.19–56.10
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction425385809safe358–492318–451676–943safer339–510301–468640–979
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction83.9680.91safe79.93–87.9976.58–85.23safer78.64–89.2875.27–86.54
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4513.2527.71safe11.62–17.2910.31–16.2021.92–33.49safer10.86–18.059.56–16.9420.42–34.99
Offsides
61%
19%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.441.353.79safe1.28–3.600.26–2.441.54–6.05safer0.98–3.900.00–2.730.95–6.64
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.233.84safe0.56–2.661.10–3.351.66–6.02safer0.30–2.930.81–3.651.10–6.57
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.065.59safe1.09–3.961.51–4.622.60–8.58safer0.70–4.351.08–5.051.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.56 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 50% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 2.99–6.72 2.50–7.21 | 3.44 1.70–5.19 1.24–5.65 | 8.30 4.70–11.91 3.74–12.86 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.06–17.91 8.96–19.00 | 10.69 7.12–14.25 6.16–15.21 | 24.67 17.18–32.15 15.13–34.20 | 71% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.87–12.76 6.04–13.59 | 5.74 3.06–8.42 2.32–9.16 | 15.55 9.93–21.18 8.36–22.74 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.76–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 2.45 0.79–4.10 0.30–4.59 | 6.09 2.56–9.63 1.52–10.66 | 61% 15% 24% |
| Corners | 5.50 3.29–7.71 2.71–8.29 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.12–6.18 | 9.15 4.94–13.36 3.83–14.47 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 52.97 46.18–59.76 44.51–61.43 | 47.65 40.86–54.43 39.19–56.10 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 339–510 | 385 318–451 301–468 | 809 676–943 640–979 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.96 79.93–87.99 78.64–89.28 | 80.91 76.58–85.23 75.27–86.54 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 14.45 11.62–17.29 10.86–18.05 | 13.25 10.31–16.20 9.56–16.94 | 27.71 21.92–33.49 20.42–34.99 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.60 0.98–3.90 | 1.35 0.26–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 61% 19% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 2.23 1.10–3.35 0.81–3.65 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.57 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.05 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.