Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
28%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.112.39safe0.31–2.240.26–1.970.56–4.21safer0.05–2.490.03–2.190.08–4.69
Shots on target
56%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.467.83safe2.50–6.231.72–5.204.22–11.43safer2.01–6.721.25–5.673.27–12.39
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8711.1924.06safe8.95–16.807.63–14.7616.58–31.55safer7.85–17.896.67–15.7114.53–33.60
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction8.446.5815.02safe5.49–11.383.90–9.269.40–20.64safer4.66–12.213.16–10.007.83–22.21
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.956.29safe1.46–5.221.29–4.602.75–9.82safer0.92–5.770.80–5.091.72–10.86
Corners
47%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.218.67safe2.25–6.682.20–6.214.46–12.89safer1.68–7.261.67–6.743.35–13.99
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.9249.81safe44.13–57.7143.03–56.60safer42.46–59.3841.36–58.27
Passes
53%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction430419849safe363–497353–486715–983safer344–515335–503680–1019
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction81.8981.66safe77.86–85.9277.33–85.98safer76.57–87.2176.02–87.29
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5513.6526.19safe9.71–15.3810.70–16.5920.41–31.97safer8.95–16.149.95–17.3418.91–33.48
Offsides
37%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.502.95safe0.29–2.610.40–2.590.69–5.20safer0.00–2.910.12–2.880.10–5.79
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.304.22safe0.88–2.981.17–3.422.05–6.40safer0.61–3.240.88–3.721.49–6.96
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.975.49safe1.08–3.951.42–4.532.49–8.48safer0.69–4.340.99–4.951.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.31–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.19 | 2.39 0.56–4.21 0.08–4.69 | 40% 28% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.50–6.23 2.01–6.72 | 3.46 1.72–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 7.83 4.22–11.43 3.27–12.39 | 56% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 12.87 8.95–16.80 7.85–17.89 | 11.19 7.63–14.76 6.67–15.71 | 24.06 16.58–31.55 14.53–33.60 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.44 5.49–11.38 4.66–12.21 | 6.58 3.90–9.26 3.16–10.00 | 15.02 9.40–20.64 7.83–22.21 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.46–5.22 0.92–5.77 | 2.95 1.29–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 6.29 2.75–9.82 1.72–10.86 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 4.47 2.25–6.68 1.68–7.26 | 4.21 2.20–6.21 1.67–6.74 | 8.67 4.46–12.89 3.35–13.99 | 47% 14% 40% |
| Possession % | 50.92 44.13–57.71 42.46–59.38 | 49.81 43.03–56.60 41.36–58.27 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 344–515 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 849 715–983 680–1019 | 53% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.89 77.86–85.92 76.57–87.21 | 81.66 77.33–85.98 76.02–87.29 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.38 8.95–16.14 | 13.65 10.70–16.59 9.95–17.34 | 26.19 20.41–31.97 18.91–33.48 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 2.95 0.69–5.20 0.10–5.79 | 37% 25% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 2.30 1.17–3.42 0.88–3.72 | 4.22 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 5.49 2.49–8.48 1.68–9.29 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.