Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.982.88safe0.93–2.870.13–1.841.06–4.70safer0.68–3.120.00–2.070.58–5.18
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.703.278.96safe3.83–7.561.53–5.015.36–12.57safer3.34–8.051.06–5.484.40–13.52
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.009.6225.62safe12.08–19.936.05–13.1818.13–33.10safer10.98–21.025.09–14.1416.08–35.15
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.545.7816.32safe7.59–13.483.10–8.4610.69–21.94safer6.76–14.312.36–9.209.13–23.51
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.202.286.48safe2.31–6.080.63–3.932.94–10.01safer1.77–6.620.14–4.431.91–11.05
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.579.59safe3.80–8.231.57–5.575.38–13.80safer3.23–8.811.04–6.104.27–14.91
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.8046.66safe47.01–60.5939.88–53.45safer45.34–62.2638.21–55.12
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction495437933safe428–563371–504799–1066safer410–581353–521763–1102
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction81.6879.76safe77.65–85.7175.44–84.09safer76.36–87.0074.13–85.40
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5213.8427.35safe10.68–16.3610.89–16.7821.57–33.14safer9.92–17.1110.14–17.5320.07–34.64
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.543.07safe0.38–2.700.44–2.630.82–5.33safer0.08–3.000.16–2.920.23–5.92
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.073.97safe0.85–2.950.94–3.201.80–6.15safer0.59–3.220.65–3.491.24–6.71
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.645.87safe0.79–3.662.09–5.202.88–8.86safer0.40–4.051.66–5.622.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.70 3.83–7.56 3.34–8.05 | 3.27 1.53–5.01 1.06–5.48 | 8.96 5.36–12.57 4.40–13.52 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.00 12.08–19.93 10.98–21.02 | 9.62 6.05–13.18 5.09–14.14 | 25.62 18.13–33.10 16.08–35.15 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.54 7.59–13.48 6.76–14.31 | 5.78 3.10–8.46 2.36–9.20 | 16.32 10.69–21.94 9.13–23.51 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.31–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 2.28 0.63–3.93 0.14–4.43 | 6.48 2.94–10.01 1.91–11.05 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.80–8.23 3.23–8.81 | 3.57 1.57–5.57 1.04–6.10 | 9.59 5.38–13.80 4.27–14.91 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 53.80 47.01–60.59 45.34–62.26 | 46.66 39.88–53.45 38.21–55.12 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 495 428–563 410–581 | 437 371–504 353–521 | 933 799–1066 763–1102 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.68 77.65–85.71 76.36–87.00 | 79.76 75.44–84.09 74.13–85.40 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 13.52 10.68–16.36 9.92–17.11 | 13.84 10.89–16.78 10.14–17.53 | 27.35 21.57–33.14 20.07–34.64 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.97 1.80–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.64 2.09–5.20 1.66–5.62 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+