Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
17%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.443.45safe0.05–1.981.59–3.291.63–5.28safer0.00–2.231.36–3.521.15–5.76
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.636.189.81safe1.77–5.504.44–7.926.21–13.42safer1.28–5.993.97–8.395.25–14.37
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6816.8227.50safe6.75–14.6013.26–20.3820.01–34.98safer5.66–15.6912.30–21.3417.96–37.03
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3411.8019.13safe4.39–10.289.12–14.4813.51–24.76safer3.57–11.118.38–15.2111.94–26.32
Blocked shots
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.855.168.01safe0.97–4.743.50–6.814.48–11.55safer0.43–5.283.01–7.303.44–12.58
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.906.1210.02safe1.68–6.114.12–8.125.80–14.23safer1.11–6.693.58–8.654.70–15.34
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.8264.83safe28.03–41.6158.05–71.62safer26.36–43.2856.38–73.29
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction265486752safe198–333420–553618–885safer180–351402–570582–921
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction67.2281.27safe63.19–71.2576.94–85.59safer61.90–72.5475.63–86.90
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3011.7425.04safe10.47–16.148.79–14.6819.26–30.82safer9.71–16.908.04–15.4317.76–32.33
Offsides
61%
17%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.861.724.58safe1.70–4.020.62–2.812.32–6.83safer1.40–4.320.34–3.101.73–7.42
Yellow cards
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.824.07safe1.20–3.300.69–2.951.89–6.25safer0.93–3.560.40–3.241.33–6.80
Red cards
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.090.26safe0.01–0.330.00–0.280.00–0.61safer0.00–0.480.00–0.410.00–0.89
GK saves
64%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.366.15safe2.35–5.230.81–3.923.16–9.15safer1.97–5.610.38–4.342.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 2.44 1.59–3.29 1.36–3.52 | 3.45 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 14% 17% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.63 1.77–5.50 1.28–5.99 | 6.18 4.44–7.92 3.97–8.39 | 9.81 6.21–13.42 5.25–14.37 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.68 6.75–14.60 5.66–15.69 | 16.82 13.26–20.38 12.30–21.34 | 27.50 20.01–34.98 17.96–37.03 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 7.34 4.39–10.28 3.57–11.11 | 11.80 9.12–14.48 8.38–15.21 | 19.13 13.51–24.76 11.94–26.32 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.74 0.43–5.28 | 5.16 3.50–6.81 3.01–7.30 | 8.01 4.48–11.55 3.44–12.58 | 16% 74% |
| Corners | 3.90 1.68–6.11 1.11–6.69 | 6.12 4.12–8.12 3.58–8.65 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 34.82 28.03–41.61 26.36–43.28 | 64.83 58.05–71.62 56.38–73.29 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 265 198–333 180–351 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 752 618–885 582–921 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.22 63.19–71.25 61.90–72.54 | 81.27 76.94–85.59 75.63–86.90 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 13.30 10.47–16.14 9.71–16.90 | 11.74 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.43 | 25.04 19.26–30.82 17.76–32.33 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.86 1.70–4.02 1.40–4.32 | 1.72 0.62–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 4.58 2.32–6.83 1.73–7.42 | 61% 17% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.93–3.56 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.80 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 14% 78% |
| GK saves | 3.79 2.35–5.23 1.97–5.61 | 2.36 0.81–3.92 0.38–4.34 | 6.15 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 64% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

