Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.572.72safe0.18–2.120.71–2.420.89–4.54safer0.00–2.370.49–2.650.42–5.02
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.114.498.60safe2.25–5.982.75–6.235.00–12.21safer1.76–6.472.28–6.704.04–13.16
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2312.5825.81safe9.31–17.169.01–16.1418.32–33.30safer8.22–18.258.06–17.1016.27–35.35
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.187.8316.01safe5.23–11.125.15–10.5110.38–21.63safer4.41–11.954.41–11.258.82–23.20
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.463.136.59safe1.58–5.341.47–4.783.05–10.12safer1.03–5.890.98–5.272.02–11.16
Corners
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.889.46safe2.37–6.792.88–6.885.25–13.67safer1.79–7.372.35–7.414.14–14.78
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.6056.69safe36.81–50.3949.90–63.47safer35.14–52.0648.23–65.14
Passes
22%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction381472852safe314–448405–538719–986safer295–466388–556683–1022
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction80.1584.39safe76.12–84.1880.06–88.71safer74.83–85.4778.75–90.02
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3911.7825.16safe10.55–16.228.83–14.7219.38–30.95safer9.79–16.988.08–15.4717.88–32.45
Offsides
60%
18%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.711.644.35safe1.55–3.870.55–2.732.09–6.60safer1.25–4.170.26–3.021.50–7.19
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.144.30safe1.11–3.211.01–3.272.12–6.48safer0.85–3.480.72–3.561.56–7.03
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.885.55safe1.23–4.111.33–4.442.56–8.55safer0.85–4.490.90–4.861.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.49–2.65 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.98 1.76–6.47 | 4.49 2.75–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.23 9.31–17.16 8.22–18.25 | 12.58 9.01–16.14 8.06–17.10 | 25.81 18.32–33.30 16.27–35.35 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.18 5.23–11.12 4.41–11.95 | 7.83 5.15–10.51 4.41–11.25 | 16.01 10.38–21.63 8.82–23.20 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.34 1.03–5.89 | 3.13 1.47–4.78 0.98–5.27 | 6.59 3.05–10.12 2.02–11.16 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 4.58 2.37–6.79 1.79–7.37 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.41 | 9.46 5.25–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Possession % | 43.60 36.81–50.39 35.14–52.06 | 56.69 49.90–63.47 48.23–65.14 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 381 314–448 295–466 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 852 719–986 683–1022 | 22% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.15 76.12–84.18 74.83–85.47 | 84.39 80.06–88.71 78.75–90.02 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 13.39 10.55–16.22 9.79–16.98 | 11.78 8.83–14.72 8.08–15.47 | 25.16 19.38–30.95 17.88–32.45 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.25–4.17 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 4.35 2.09–6.60 1.50–7.19 | 60% 18% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.30 2.12–6.48 1.56–7.03 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.11 0.85–4.49 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 5.55 2.56–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.