Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.182.41safe0.26–2.200.33–2.040.59–4.24safer0.01–2.450.10–2.270.11–4.72
Shots on target
45%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.988.15safe2.30–6.032.24–5.724.54–11.75safer1.82–6.521.77–6.193.59–12.71
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3812.6926.07safe9.45–17.309.13–16.2618.58–33.56safer8.36–18.398.17–17.2116.53–35.61
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.557.6816.23safe5.61–11.495.00–10.3610.61–21.85safer4.78–12.324.26–11.109.04–23.42
Blocked shots
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.376.81safe1.57–5.331.71–5.023.28–10.35safer1.02–5.871.22–5.512.24–11.38
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.794.549.32safe2.57–7.002.54–6.545.11–13.54safer2.00–7.572.00–7.074.00–14.64
Possession %
49%
47%
homeawayprediction50.1049.70safe43.31–56.8942.92–56.49safer41.64–58.5641.24–58.16
Passes
53%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction426415842safe359–494349–482708–975safer341–512331–499672–1011
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction82.2782.13safe78.24–86.3077.81–86.45safer76.95–87.5976.50–87.76
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5814.2426.83safe9.75–15.4211.30–17.1921.05–32.61safer8.99–16.1810.55–17.9419.54–34.12
Offsides
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.132.68safe0.40–2.720.03–2.220.43–4.94safer0.09–3.020.00–2.510.00–5.53
Yellow cards
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.414.58safe1.12–3.221.29–3.542.40–6.76safer0.85–3.480.99–3.831.85–7.32
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.005.85safe1.41–4.281.45–4.562.86–8.84safer1.02–4.671.02–4.982.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.41 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.30–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 3.98 2.24–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 8.15 4.54–11.75 3.59–12.71 | 45% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.38 9.45–17.30 8.36–18.39 | 12.69 9.13–16.26 8.17–17.21 | 26.07 18.58–33.56 16.53–35.61 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.49 4.78–12.32 | 7.68 5.00–10.36 4.26–11.10 | 16.23 10.61–21.85 9.04–23.42 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 3.37 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.00–7.07 | 9.32 5.11–13.54 4.00–14.64 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 50.10 43.31–56.89 41.64–58.56 | 49.70 42.92–56.49 41.24–58.16 | — | 49% 47% |
| Passes | 426 359–494 341–512 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 842 708–975 672–1011 | 53% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.27 78.24–86.30 76.95–87.59 | 82.13 77.81–86.45 76.50–87.76 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 12.58 9.75–15.42 8.99–16.18 | 14.24 11.30–17.19 10.55–17.94 | 26.83 21.05–32.61 19.54–34.12 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 1.13 0.03–2.22 0.00–2.51 | 2.68 0.43–4.94 0.00–5.53 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.85–3.48 | 2.41 1.29–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.58 2.40–6.76 1.85–7.32 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

