Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.012.70safe0.73–2.660.15–1.860.88–4.52safer0.47–2.910.00–2.090.40–5.00
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.233.628.85safe3.37–7.091.88–5.365.25–12.46safer2.88–7.581.41–5.834.29–13.41
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6011.0926.70safe11.68–19.537.53–14.6619.21–34.18safer10.59–20.626.57–15.6217.16–36.23
Shots in box
73%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.816.8216.63safe6.87–12.754.14–9.5011.01–22.25safer6.04–13.583.40–10.249.44–23.82
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.612.997.60safe2.72–6.491.34–4.654.06–11.13safer2.18–7.030.85–5.143.03–12.17
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.704.119.81safe3.49–7.912.11–6.115.60–14.03safer2.91–8.491.58–6.654.49–15.13
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.8642.62safe51.07–64.6535.84–49.41safer49.40–66.3234.17–51.08
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction479358837safe412–546292–425704–971safer393–564274–442668–1007
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction86.0879.87safe82.05–90.1175.55–84.20safer80.76–91.4074.24–85.51
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1513.2527.40safe11.31–16.9810.31–16.2021.62–33.18safer10.55–17.749.56–16.9520.12–34.69
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.492.99safe0.33–2.660.40–2.580.73–5.24safer0.03–2.960.11–2.870.14–5.83
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.153.92safe0.72–2.811.03–3.281.74–6.10safer0.45–3.080.73–3.571.18–6.65
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.606.21safe1.17–4.042.05–5.163.22–9.20safer0.78–4.431.62–5.582.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.73–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 53% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.37–7.09 2.88–7.58 | 3.62 1.88–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 8.85 5.25–12.46 4.29–13.41 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.60 11.68–19.53 10.59–20.62 | 11.09 7.53–14.66 6.57–15.62 | 26.70 19.21–34.18 17.16–36.23 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.81 6.87–12.75 6.04–13.58 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.40–10.24 | 16.63 11.01–22.25 9.44–23.82 | 73% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.72–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 2.99 1.34–4.65 0.85–5.14 | 7.60 4.06–11.13 3.03–12.17 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 5.70 3.49–7.91 2.91–8.49 | 4.11 2.11–6.11 1.58–6.65 | 9.81 5.60–14.03 4.49–15.13 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 57.86 51.07–64.65 49.40–66.32 | 42.62 35.84–49.41 34.17–51.08 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 479 412–546 393–564 | 358 292–425 274–442 | 837 704–971 668–1007 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.08 82.05–90.11 80.76–91.40 | 79.87 75.55–84.20 74.24–85.51 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 14.15 11.31–16.98 10.55–17.74 | 13.25 10.31–16.20 9.56–16.95 | 27.40 21.62–33.18 20.12–34.69 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.33–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 2.99 0.73–5.24 0.14–5.83 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.15 1.03–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.92 1.74–6.10 1.18–6.65 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.60 2.05–5.16 1.62–5.58 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.