Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.182.92safe0.77–2.700.33–2.041.10–4.74safer0.52–2.950.10–2.270.62–5.22
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.149.54safe3.54–7.262.40–5.885.93–13.14safer3.05–7.751.93–6.354.98–14.10
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0312.0826.10safe10.10–17.958.51–15.6418.62–33.59safer9.01–19.057.55–16.6016.57–35.64
Shots in box
61%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.897.2216.12safe5.95–11.834.54–9.9110.49–21.74safer5.12–12.663.81–10.648.93–23.31
Blocked shots
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.776.26safe1.61–5.381.11–4.422.73–9.80safer1.07–5.920.62–4.911.69–10.83
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.109.56safe3.24–7.672.10–6.105.34–13.77safer2.67–8.251.57–6.634.24–14.88
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.5742.53safe50.78–64.3635.75–49.32safer49.11–66.0334.07–50.99
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction466363830safe399–534297–430696–963safer381–552279–447660–999
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction80.8077.77safe76.77–84.8373.44–82.09safer75.48–86.1372.13–83.40
Fouls
19%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0015.0426.04safe8.16–13.8412.10–17.9920.26–31.82safer7.41–14.5911.35–18.7418.76–33.33
Offsides
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.223.88safe0.50–2.821.13–3.321.63–6.14safer0.20–3.120.84–3.611.04–6.72
Yellow cards
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.472.665.12safe1.42–3.511.53–3.792.95–7.30safer1.15–3.781.24–4.082.39–7.86
Red cards
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.160.28safe0.00–0.280.00–0.350.00–0.63safer0.00–0.430.00–0.480.00–0.91
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.376.39safe1.58–4.451.82–4.933.40–9.38safer1.19–4.841.39–5.352.59–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.77–2.70 0.52–2.95 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.26 3.05–7.75 | 4.14 2.40–5.88 1.93–6.35 | 9.54 5.93–13.14 4.98–14.10 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.05 | 12.08 8.51–15.64 7.55–16.60 | 26.10 18.62–33.59 16.57–35.64 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.89 5.95–11.83 5.12–12.66 | 7.22 4.54–9.91 3.81–10.64 | 16.12 10.49–21.74 8.93–23.31 | 61% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.61–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 2.77 1.11–4.42 0.62–4.91 | 6.26 2.73–9.80 1.69–10.83 | 53% 16% 31% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.25 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 9.56 5.34–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 57.57 50.78–64.36 49.11–66.03 | 42.53 35.75–49.32 34.07–50.99 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 830 696–963 660–999 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.80 76.77–84.83 75.48–86.13 | 77.77 73.44–82.09 72.13–83.40 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.84 7.41–14.59 | 15.04 12.10–17.99 11.35–18.74 | 26.04 20.26–31.82 18.76–33.33 | 19% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.22 1.13–3.32 0.84–3.61 | 3.88 1.63–6.14 1.04–6.72 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.47 1.42–3.51 1.15–3.78 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 5.12 2.95–7.30 2.39–7.86 | 38% 18% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% 13% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 3.37 1.82–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.59–10.19 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.