Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.192.55safe0.39–2.330.33–2.040.72–4.37safer0.14–2.580.10–2.270.24–4.85
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.928.27safe2.49–6.212.18–5.664.67–11.88safer2.00–6.701.71–6.133.71–12.83
Total shots
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7611.4125.17safe9.84–17.697.85–14.9717.69–32.66safer8.75–18.786.89–15.9315.64–34.71
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction8.996.4315.42safe6.04–11.933.75–9.119.79–21.04safer5.22–12.763.01–9.858.23–22.61
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.573.216.79safe1.69–5.451.56–4.873.25–10.32safer1.15–6.001.07–5.362.22–11.36
Corners
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.929.05safe2.92–7.341.92–5.924.84–13.26safer2.34–7.921.39–6.453.73–14.37
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction46.9451.85safe40.15–53.7345.07–58.64safer38.48–55.4043.39–60.31
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction386422808safe318–453356–489674–942safer300–471338–506639–977
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction81.0383.16safe77.00–85.0578.84–87.49safer75.70–86.3577.53–88.80
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6613.4626.12safe9.82–15.4910.52–16.4120.34–31.90safer9.06–16.259.77–17.1518.83–33.40
Offsides
39%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.543.11safe0.41–2.730.45–2.630.86–5.36safer0.11–3.030.16–2.920.27–5.95
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.273.99safe0.67–2.771.14–3.401.81–6.17safer0.40–3.030.85–3.691.25–6.73
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.732.965.70safe1.30–4.171.41–4.522.71–8.69safer0.91–4.560.98–4.951.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.55 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 41% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 3.92 2.18–5.66 1.71–6.13 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.76 9.84–17.69 8.75–18.78 | 11.41 7.85–14.97 6.89–15.93 | 25.17 17.69–32.66 15.64–34.71 | 64% 28% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.04–11.93 5.22–12.76 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.01–9.85 | 15.42 9.79–21.04 8.23–22.61 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.45 1.15–6.00 | 3.21 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 6.79 3.25–10.32 2.22–11.36 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.34 2.34–7.92 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.45 | 9.05 4.84–13.26 3.73–14.37 | 59% 28% |
| Possession % | 46.94 40.15–53.73 38.48–55.40 | 51.85 45.07–58.64 43.39–60.31 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 386 318–453 300–471 | 422 356–489 338–506 | 808 674–942 639–977 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.03 77.00–85.05 75.70–86.35 | 83.16 78.84–87.49 77.53–88.80 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.82–15.49 9.06–16.25 | 13.46 10.52–16.41 9.77–17.15 | 26.12 20.34–31.90 18.83–33.40 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.11 0.86–5.36 0.27–5.95 | 39% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.03 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.25–6.73 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 2.96 1.41–4.52 0.98–4.95 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.