Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.540.992.52safe0.57–2.500.13–1.840.70–4.34safer0.32–2.750.00–2.070.22–4.82
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.823.418.23safe2.96–6.691.66–5.154.62–11.83safer2.47–7.181.20–5.613.67–12.79
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9910.5925.59safe11.07–18.927.03–14.1618.10–33.07safer9.98–20.016.07–15.1216.05–35.13
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.856.0215.87safe6.91–12.793.34–8.7010.24–21.49safer6.08–13.622.60–9.448.68–23.06
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.696.59safe2.02–5.791.04–4.343.06–10.13safer1.48–6.330.54–4.832.02–11.16
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.753.929.67safe3.54–7.971.92–5.925.46–13.88safer2.97–8.541.38–6.454.35–14.99
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.0346.85safe46.24–59.8240.06–53.63safer44.57–61.4938.39–55.30
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction439384822safe372–506317–450689–956safer353–524300–468653–992
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction81.9279.52safe77.89–85.9575.19–83.84safer76.60–87.2473.88–85.15
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.6026.65safe10.22–15.8910.65–16.5420.87–32.43safer9.46–16.659.90–17.2919.36–33.94
Offsides
49%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.533.55safe0.86–3.180.44–2.631.30–5.81safer0.56–3.480.15–2.910.71–6.39
Yellow cards
35%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.665.00safe1.30–3.401.53–3.792.83–7.18safer1.03–3.661.24–4.082.27–7.74
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.140.28safe0.00–0.310.00–0.320.00–0.63safer0.00–0.460.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.325.70safe0.95–3.821.76–4.872.71–8.70safer0.56–4.211.34–5.301.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.75 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 50% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.96–6.69 2.47–7.18 | 3.41 1.66–5.15 1.20–5.61 | 8.23 4.62–11.83 3.67–12.79 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.99 11.07–18.92 9.98–20.01 | 10.59 7.03–14.16 6.07–15.12 | 25.59 18.10–33.07 16.05–35.13 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.85 6.91–12.79 6.08–13.62 | 6.02 3.34–8.70 2.60–9.44 | 15.87 10.24–21.49 8.68–23.06 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 2.69 1.04–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 6.59 3.06–10.13 2.02–11.16 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.54 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.38–6.45 | 9.67 5.46–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 53.03 46.24–59.82 44.57–61.49 | 46.85 40.06–53.63 38.39–55.30 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 353–524 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 822 689–956 653–992 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.92 77.89–85.95 76.60–87.24 | 79.52 75.19–83.84 73.88–85.15 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.22–15.89 9.46–16.65 | 13.60 10.65–16.54 9.90–17.29 | 26.65 20.87–32.43 19.36–33.94 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.55 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.39 | 49% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.40 1.03–3.66 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 5.00 2.83–7.18 2.27–7.74 | 35% 18% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.32 1.76–4.87 1.34–5.30 | 5.70 2.71–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.