Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.493.13safe0.67–2.610.63–2.341.31–4.95safer0.42–2.860.40–2.570.83–5.43
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.379.58safe3.34–7.072.63–6.115.97–13.18safer2.85–7.562.16–6.585.01–14.14
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5011.7527.24safe11.57–19.428.18–15.3119.76–34.73safer10.48–20.517.23–16.2717.70–36.78
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.397.7517.14safe6.45–12.335.06–10.4311.51–22.76safer5.62–13.164.33–11.169.95–24.33
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.222.947.16safe2.34–6.101.28–4.593.62–10.69safer1.79–6.640.79–5.082.59–11.73
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.624.019.64safe3.41–7.832.01–6.025.42–13.85safer2.83–8.411.48–6.554.31–14.96
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.5846.14safe46.79–60.3739.36–52.93safer45.12–62.0437.69–54.60
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction462399861safe395–529332–465727–995safer377–548315–483692–1030
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction78.6475.42safe74.61–82.6771.10–79.75safer73.31–83.9669.79–81.06
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8413.8226.66safe10.01–15.6810.88–16.7720.88–32.45safer9.25–16.4410.13–17.5219.38–33.95
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.993.73safe0.59–2.910.89–3.081.48–5.99safer0.29–3.210.60–3.370.89–6.58
Yellow cards
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.945.07safe1.08–3.181.81–4.062.89–7.24safer0.82–3.451.52–4.362.33–7.80
Red cards
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.170.29safe0.00–0.280.00–0.360.00–0.64safer0.00–0.430.00–0.490.00–0.92
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.356.17safe1.38–4.251.80–4.913.18–9.16safer0.99–4.641.37–5.332.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.49 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 3.13 1.31–4.95 0.83–5.43 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.34–7.07 2.85–7.56 | 4.37 2.63–6.11 2.16–6.58 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.01–14.14 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.50 11.57–19.42 10.48–20.51 | 11.75 8.18–15.31 7.23–16.27 | 27.24 19.76–34.73 17.70–36.78 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.39 6.45–12.33 5.62–13.16 | 7.75 5.06–10.43 4.33–11.16 | 17.14 11.51–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 2.94 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 7.16 3.62–10.69 2.59–11.73 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.41–7.83 2.83–8.41 | 4.01 2.01–6.02 1.48–6.55 | 9.64 5.42–13.85 4.31–14.96 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 53.58 46.79–60.37 45.12–62.04 | 46.14 39.36–52.93 37.69–54.60 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 462 395–529 377–548 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.64 74.61–82.67 73.31–83.96 | 75.42 71.10–79.75 69.79–81.06 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 12.84 10.01–15.68 9.25–16.44 | 13.82 10.88–16.77 10.13–17.52 | 26.66 20.88–32.45 19.38–33.95 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.99 0.89–3.08 0.60–3.37 | 3.73 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 2.94 1.81–4.06 1.52–4.36 | 5.07 2.89–7.24 2.33–7.80 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.35 1.80–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.