Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
18%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.353.42safe0.10–2.041.50–3.211.60–5.24safer0.00–2.291.27–3.441.12–5.72
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.705.959.65safe1.84–5.574.21–7.696.05–13.26safer1.35–6.063.74–8.165.09–14.21
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9715.7626.73safe7.04–14.8912.20–19.3219.24–34.22safer5.95–15.9811.24–20.2817.19–36.27
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1010.2816.38safe3.15–9.047.60–12.9610.75–22.00safer2.32–9.876.86–13.709.19–23.57
Blocked shots
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.936.78safe0.97–4.732.28–5.593.25–10.32safer0.42–5.271.79–6.082.21–11.35
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.565.819.36safe1.34–5.773.81–7.815.15–13.58safer0.77–6.343.28–8.344.04–14.69
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction37.3761.10safe30.58–44.1654.32–67.89safer28.91–45.8352.65–69.56
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction317514832safe250–385448–581698–965safer232–403430–598662–1001
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction78.6886.99safe74.65–82.7182.67–91.32safer73.36–84.0081.36–92.63
Fouls
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3315.2726.60safe8.49–14.1712.32–18.2120.81–32.38safer7.73–14.9211.57–18.9619.31–33.88
Offsides
23%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.363.83safe0.31–2.641.26–3.451.58–6.08safer0.01–2.940.97–3.740.99–6.67
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.213.99safe0.73–2.831.08–3.341.81–6.16safer0.46–3.090.79–3.631.25–6.72
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
56%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.602.676.27safe2.16–5.031.12–4.233.28–9.26safer1.77–5.420.69–4.652.47–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.35 1.50–3.21 1.27–3.44 | 3.42 1.60–5.24 1.12–5.72 | 16% 18% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.70 1.84–5.57 1.35–6.06 | 5.95 4.21–7.69 3.74–8.16 | 9.65 6.05–13.26 5.09–14.21 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.97 7.04–14.89 5.95–15.98 | 15.76 12.20–19.32 11.24–20.28 | 26.73 19.24–34.22 17.19–36.27 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.10 3.15–9.04 2.32–9.87 | 10.28 7.60–12.96 6.86–13.70 | 16.38 10.75–22.00 9.19–23.57 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.73 0.42–5.27 | 3.93 2.28–5.59 1.79–6.08 | 6.78 3.25–10.32 2.21–11.35 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 3.56 1.34–5.77 0.77–6.34 | 5.81 3.81–7.81 3.28–8.34 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.69 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 37.37 30.58–44.16 28.91–45.83 | 61.10 54.32–67.89 52.65–69.56 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 317 250–385 232–403 | 514 448–581 430–598 | 832 698–965 662–1001 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.68 74.65–82.71 73.36–84.00 | 86.99 82.67–91.32 81.36–92.63 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.17 7.73–14.92 | 15.27 12.32–18.21 11.57–18.96 | 26.60 20.81–32.38 19.31–33.88 | 19% 75% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.31–2.64 0.01–2.94 | 2.36 1.26–3.45 0.97–3.74 | 3.83 1.58–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 23% 19% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.99 1.81–6.16 1.25–6.72 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.60 2.16–5.03 1.77–5.42 | 2.67 1.12–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.47–10.07 | 56% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.