Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.401.023.42safe1.43–3.370.16–1.871.60–5.24safer1.18–3.620.00–2.101.12–5.72
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.2710.11safe4.98–8.701.52–5.016.50–13.71safer4.49–9.191.06–5.485.55–14.67
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.218.2526.46safe14.29–22.144.69–11.8118.97–33.95safer13.20–23.233.73–12.7716.92–36.00
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.735.5418.26safe9.79–15.672.86–8.2212.64–23.89safer8.96–16.502.12–8.9611.07–25.45
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.892.257.14safe3.01–6.770.60–3.913.61–10.68safer2.46–7.320.11–4.402.57–11.71
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.462.959.41safe4.25–8.670.95–4.955.20–13.63safer3.67–9.250.42–5.494.09–14.73
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.4043.78safe49.61–63.1937.00–50.57safer47.94–64.8635.33–52.24
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction488364851safe421–555297–430718–985safer402–573280–448682–1021
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction85.4380.16safe81.40–89.4675.83–84.48safer80.11–90.7674.52–85.79
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0411.0623.10safe9.20–14.888.11–14.0017.32–28.88safer8.45–15.637.37–14.7515.81–30.39
Offsides
49%
18%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.234.93safe1.54–3.861.13–3.322.68–7.18safer1.24–4.160.85–3.612.09–7.77
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.173.77safe0.55–2.651.04–3.301.59–5.95safer0.28–2.910.75–3.591.04–6.51
Red cards
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.21safe0.00–0.220.00–0.340.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.470.00–0.84
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.124.216.34safe0.69–3.562.66–5.773.34–9.33safer0.30–3.952.23–6.202.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.37 1.18–3.62 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 3.42 1.60–5.24 1.12–5.72 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.84 4.98–8.70 4.49–9.19 | 3.27 1.52–5.01 1.06–5.48 | 10.11 6.50–13.71 5.55–14.67 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.21 14.29–22.14 13.20–23.23 | 8.25 4.69–11.81 3.73–12.77 | 26.46 18.97–33.95 16.92–36.00 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.73 9.79–15.67 8.96–16.50 | 5.54 2.86–8.22 2.12–8.96 | 18.26 12.64–23.89 11.07–25.45 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.89 3.01–6.77 2.46–7.32 | 2.25 0.60–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 7.14 3.61–10.68 2.57–11.71 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.46 4.25–8.67 3.67–9.25 | 2.95 0.95–4.95 0.42–5.49 | 9.41 5.20–13.63 4.09–14.73 | 84% |
| Possession % | 56.40 49.61–63.19 47.94–64.86 | 43.78 37.00–50.57 35.33–52.24 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 488 421–555 402–573 | 364 297–430 280–448 | 851 718–985 682–1021 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.43 81.40–89.46 80.11–90.76 | 80.16 75.83–84.48 74.52–85.79 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.20–14.88 8.45–15.63 | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.37–14.75 | 23.10 17.32–28.88 15.81–30.39 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.70 1.54–3.86 1.24–4.16 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 4.93 2.68–7.18 2.09–7.77 | 49% 18% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 4.21 2.66–5.77 2.23–6.20 | 6.34 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

