Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.292.59safe0.33–2.270.44–2.150.77–4.42safer0.08–2.520.21–2.370.29–4.90
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.564.358.91safe2.70–6.422.61–6.095.31–12.52safer2.21–6.912.14–6.564.35–13.47
Total shots
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0713.8427.91safe10.14–17.9910.28–17.4020.42–35.39safer9.05–19.089.32–18.3618.37–37.44
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.889.0617.94safe5.94–11.826.38–11.7412.32–23.56safer5.11–12.655.64–12.4810.75–25.13
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.767.37safe1.73–5.492.11–5.413.83–10.90safer1.18–6.031.62–5.912.80–11.94
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.8810.23safe3.14–7.572.88–6.886.02–14.44safer2.57–8.142.34–7.414.91–15.55
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction56.9442.53safe50.15–63.7335.75–49.32safer48.48–65.4034.08–50.99
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction419292710safe351–486225–358577–844safer333–504208–376541–880
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction77.9771.08safe73.94–82.0066.76–75.40safer72.65–83.2965.45–76.71
Fouls
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3116.0226.33safe7.47–13.1513.08–18.9720.55–32.12safer6.72–13.9012.33–19.7219.05–33.62
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.643.26safe0.47–2.790.54–2.731.01–5.52safer0.16–3.090.25–3.020.42–6.11
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.444.38safe0.89–2.991.31–3.572.20–6.56safer0.62–3.261.02–3.861.65–7.12
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.015.91safe1.46–4.331.46–4.572.92–8.90safer1.07–4.721.03–4.992.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.37 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.42 2.21–6.91 | 4.35 2.61–6.09 2.14–6.56 | 8.91 5.31–12.52 4.35–13.47 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.07 10.14–17.99 9.05–19.08 | 13.84 10.28–17.40 9.32–18.36 | 27.91 20.42–35.39 18.37–37.44 | 48% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.88 5.94–11.82 5.11–12.65 | 9.06 6.38–11.74 5.64–12.48 | 17.94 12.32–23.56 10.75–25.13 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.62–5.91 | 7.37 3.83–10.90 2.80–11.94 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.57 2.57–8.14 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.34–7.41 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 56.94 50.15–63.73 48.48–65.40 | 42.53 35.75–49.32 34.08–50.99 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 419 351–486 333–504 | 292 225–358 208–376 | 710 577–844 541–880 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.97 73.94–82.00 72.65–83.29 | 71.08 66.76–75.40 65.45–76.71 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.47–13.15 6.72–13.90 | 16.02 13.08–18.97 12.33–19.72 | 26.33 20.55–32.12 19.05–33.62 | 85% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.26 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 4.38 2.20–6.56 1.65–7.12 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.01 1.46–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.72 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.